NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	113		Excitement	10.4 [56]		MVP	Jae Crowder (BOS): +40.1%
Dallas Mavericks	118		Comeback	4.3 [225]		LVP	Jared Sullinger (BOS): -20.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0.40	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.4	-0.03	0.41	-0.02	13	36%	0.40	0	0.00	7	86%	0.17
Marcus Smart	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.21,0.21	0.10	0.12	0.01	13	67%	0.23	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Kelly Olynyk	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06	0.10	0.03	0.06	11	77%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.06	-0.03	-0.02	16	53%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.05	-0.02	19	48%	0.03	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Jared Sullinger	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2	-0.08	-0.13	-0.01	12	39%	-0.10	3	-0.10	7	86%	0.04

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.09,-0.13,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.35,0.36	0.36	-0.00	0.34	-0.02	17	53%	0.41	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.05
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.07,0.07,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.31	0.31	0.05	0.25	-0.01	21	56%	0.41	4	-0.09	13	92%	0.14
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.12	0.13	0.02	11	73%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.09	0.00	5	90%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.06	-0.02	13	52%	0.04	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.03	-0.01	6	33%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.05	0.03	12	58%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.11	-0.01	4	42%	-0.12	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.7	1.8	27.3	15.4	29.6	2.3	40.4	2.4	18.5	160.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +45.8%

BOS -6.5%

DAL +11.0%

BOS -4.8%

DAL +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DAL	NBA	BOS	DAL	NBA
this game	13.2	16.7	14.9	107.6	110.3	105.1
season	13.9	15.5		104.5	105.0
opponent	14.7	15.0		106.5	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BOS	15.3	14.3	10.7	14.0	11.5	13.2
DAL	17.5	17.6	17.0	16.0	14.5	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Olynyk	57	57	0.33	-0.83	1.16	-0.46	27	-32	59	11.2	15.7	-4.49	15.2	18.4	-3.23
Evan Turner	51	52	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.15	-1	-4	3	13.6	12.9	0.66	15.9	17.5	-1.62
Jonas Jerebko	31	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.05	-3	-2	-1	13.7	13.0	0.70	16.0	17.0	-1.00
Jared Sullinger	53	52	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.15	-9	4	-13	14.1	12.3	1.79	17.7	15.8	1.85
Marcus Smart	77	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.37	-3	-2	-1	12.9	14.1	-1.17	16.6	17.1	-0.57
Avery Bradley	85	87	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.38	-5	0	-5	13.0	14.4	-1.42	17.0	15.5	1.44
Isaiah Thomas	74	76	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.51	-2	-3	1	13.3	13.1	0.26	16.8	16.6	0.15
Amir Johnson	22	24	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.01	-19	14	-33	16.6	12.4	4.23	20.2	15.7	4.44
Jae Crowder	75	77	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.38	-10	5	-15	13.3	13.1	0.25	16.8	16.6	0.17

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	72	71	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.34	18	-13	31	17.4	15.3	2.17	13.3	13.1	0.15
Zaza Pachulia	71	69	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.29	17	-12	29	17.2	15.7	1.54	13.6	12.5	1.14
Chandler Parsons	66	64	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.48	5	0	5	16.9	16.4	0.49	14.0	12.1	1.89
Dirk Nowitzki	67	67	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.04	13	-8	21	17.4	15.6	1.75	13.2	13.3	-0.15
Wesley Matthews	70	70	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.04	11	-6	17	17.6	15.0	2.63	13.6	12.6	1.01
Raymond Felton	58	58	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.21	-9	14	-23	16.2	17.3	-1.04	13.3	13.2	0.02
Jose Juan Barea	33	32	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.04	-8	13	-21	15.9	17.1	-1.13	13.5	13.2	0.32
Dwight Powell	35	35	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.07	-12	17	-29	16.1	17.0	-0.90	12.7	13.5	-0.80
Devin Harris	51	48	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	0.08	-15	20	-35	14.6	18.6	-4.00	11.9	14.4	-2.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.56,0.52,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.47,0.64,0.55,0.85,0.54,0.81,0.72,0.69,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 110, CHH 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.72,0.62,0.66,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.35,0.46,0.53,0.64,0.57,0.92,0.46,0.75,0.71,0.84,0.96,1	88.8%
MIA 92, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.42,0.47,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.29,0.43,0.85,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.91,0.99,1	87.3%
LAL 95, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.81,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.36,0.19,0.23,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.27,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.84,1	87.3%