NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	110		Excitement	10.6 [27]		MVP	Eddie Jones (CHH): +23.1%
Charlotte Hornets	117		Comeback	21.8 [27]		LVP	Eric Snow (PHI): -25.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Hill	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.01	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	67%	0.14	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.05	-0.02	13	42%	0.03	2	-0.04	5	100%	-0.00
Rick Mahorn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.22,-0.15,-0.35,-0.55,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.15	0.03	-0.03	35	45%	0.20	4	-0.30	16	56%	-0.15
Theo Ratliff	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	6	31%	-0.06	4	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Matt Geiger	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.00	-0.16	0.04	16	61%	0.03	4	-0.24	4	50%	-0.01
Eric Snow	-0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.25	-0.09	-0.17	-0.01	7	57%	0.03	5	-0.28	7	86%	0.05

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.05,0.06,0.12,0.12,0,0,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.09	0.17	0.03	14	85%	0.65	6	-0.42	5	100%	0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.04	0.13	-0.01	11	61%	0.19	4	-0.10	9	78%	0.03
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	6	89%	0.13	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Charles Shackleford	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.04	-0.05	13	53%	0.09	3	-0.13	8	75%	-0.05
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.06	0.00	13	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	4	20%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Phills	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.11,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	14	52%	-0.05	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.03	4	30%	-0.02	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Chuck Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	30.5	17.6	29.2	2.4	44.5	2.5	21.2	174.7
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	1.7	18.8	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +22.4%

CHH +14.9%

PHI -1.2%

CHH +17.4%

PHI -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHH	NBA	PHI	CHH	NBA
this game	13.9	15.0	15.8	99.1	107.3	99.6
season	15.6	15.7		97.0	99.2
opponent	15.5	15.9		99.4	94.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	16.3	13.8	12.3	13.8	13.1	13.9
CHH	12.5	17.7	14.9	15.6	14.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Hill	32	31	0.51	-1.01	1.53	0.01	17	-24	41	12.5	14.5	-1.96	17.0	14.2	2.81
Larry Hughes	52	51	0.39	-0.89	1.28	-0.11	17	-24	41	12.8	14.9	-2.04	16.3	13.8	2.49
Rick Mahorn	10	10	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-4	1	14.3	13.9	0.41	13.8	15.1	-1.31
Theo Ratliff	46	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.36	-21	14	-35	15.2	13.1	2.09	13.7	15.9	-2.19
Aaron McKie	76	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.43	0	-7	7	14.1	13.6	0.52	15.8	13.4	2.43
Allen Iverson	101	101	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.27	-11	4	-15	14.0	12.7	1.35	14.6	19.9	-5.27
George Lynch	64	65	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.28	-12	5	-17	13.7	14.3	-0.60	14.5	15.7	-1.20
Eric Snow	81	80	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.19	-17	10	-27	13.8	14.4	-0.65	14.3	16.9	-2.55
Matt Geiger	93	87	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.55	-5	-2	-3	14.4	11.3	3.10	15.1	14.7	0.39

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elden Campbell	83	83	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.22	22	-15	37	13.9	18.6	-4.71	14.2	13.2	0.91
Chucky Brown	73	75	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.24	18	-11	29	14.3	16.4	-2.13	15.0	11.8	3.18
Eddie Jones	86	88	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.09	22	-15	37	14.9	15.4	-0.51	14.5	11.6	2.93
Bobby Phills	84	84	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.16	16	-9	25	14.0	18.5	-4.53	14.0	13.7	0.30
David Wesley	92	92	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.35	9	-2	11	14.2	19.1	-4.82	13.7	14.8	-1.04
Charles Shackleford	1	0	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	7	-7	1.0	15.1	-14.12	0.0	13.9	-13.93
Ricky Davis	25	27	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.13	-9	16	-25	18.5	14.0	4.53	13.7	14.0	-0.30
Derrick Coleman	38	40	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	0.05	-13	20	-33	17.0	13.9	3.04	12.4	14.8	-2.39
Eldridge Recasner	40	42	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	0.15	-17	24	-41	16.9	13.9	3.09	13.0	14.5	-1.42
Chuck Person	23	24	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	0.02	-13	20	-33	18.6	14.0	4.59	12.5	14.3	-1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.72,0.62,0.66,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.35,0.46,0.53,0.64,0.57,0.92,0.46,0.75,0.71,0.84,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 110, WAS 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.8,0.77,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.17,0.25,0.37,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.94,1	89.0%
BOS 113, DAL 118	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.56,0.52,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.47,0.64,0.55,0.85,0.54,0.81,0.72,0.69,0.9,1	88.8%
MIA 91, BOS 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.87,0.82,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.84,0.74,0.46,0.55,0.36,0.68,0.74,1	87.3%