NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	95		Excitement	11.1 [29]		MVP	Tony Delk (BOS): +19.9%
Boston Celtics	98		Comeback	6.3 [229]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -83.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Slava Medvedenko	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.01	6	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Devean George	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01	-0.08	0.08	-0.01	11	44%	0.06	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.04
Tracy Murray	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	7	59%	0.04	2	-0.09	3	67%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.07	0.03	9	56%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.04,-0.06,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.06	-0.13	-0.01	9	40%	-0.14	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Kobe Bryant	-0.84	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.04,-0.08,-0.14,-0.38,-0.49,-0.73,-0.69,-0.76,-0.67,-0.67,-0.84	-0.21	-0.66	-0.04	47	41%	-0.50	5	-0.34	7	100%	0.06

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2	0.20	0.17	0.05	0.02	15	81%	0.23	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.04
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.15,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.14,0.14	0.14	-0.02	0.14	-0.02	25	54%	0.25	5	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	42%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	6	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.01,0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.16	0.05	-0.02	17	38%	0.13	6	-0.22	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.35,-0.35,-0.39,-0.49	-0.49	-0.10	-0.39	-0.01	15	42%	-0.31	2	-0.17	8	50%	-0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	494.0	2.8	30.5	19.0	26.2	2.7	32.9	1.7	13.1	622.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +103.5%

LAL -47.3%

LAL -13.5%

LAL -3.0%

BOS +10.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	BOS	NBA	LAL	BOS	NBA
this game	16.4	14.8	15.5	94.1	95.1	101.6
season	15.4	15.6		105.0	99.3
opponent	15.5	15.1		99.9	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	15.8	15.4	14.6	21.4	14.6	16.4
BOS	10.9	15.9	19.0	14.0	15.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	54	55	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.09	6	-9	15	15.5	17.5	-1.97	14.5	15.0	-0.53
Jannero Pargo	23	23	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-6	9	14.7	16.9	-2.20	16.1	14.4	1.77
Tracy Murray	5	4	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	1	-5	16.4	16.4	-0.04	11.5	14.9	-3.39
Slava Medvedenko	32	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.21	-13	10	-23	16.1	16.6	-0.45	13.2	15.4	-2.19
Devean George	75	76	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-1	-1	17.2	14.3	2.81	14.8	14.6	0.27
Robert Horry	79	83	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.58	6	-9	15	16.7	15.6	1.02	15.4	12.1	3.24
Samaki Walker	90	91	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.48	1	-4	5	16.5	15.7	0.79	14.8	14.2	0.57
Kobe Bryant	89	91	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.39	-3	0	-3	16.5	16.2	0.21	14.4	17.5	-3.10
Brian Shaw	58	61	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.55	-9	6	-15	16.7	16.0	0.68	15.0	14.5	0.47

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Williams	84	81	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.51	6	-3	9	14.1	17.5	-3.40	16.4	16.4	-0.02
Tony Delk	80	79	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.35	10	-7	17	14.4	16.0	-1.60	17.6	12.1	5.55
Antoine Walker	92	89	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.41	6	-3	9	14.7	15.5	-0.78	17.3	9.9	7.40
Paul Pierce	86	84	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.41	4	-1	5	14.3	16.9	-2.55	16.4	16.5	-0.11
Tony Battie	57	56	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	2	-1	13.8	16.0	-2.17	18.3	14.2	4.11
Vin Baker	35	36	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	4	-5	16.1	14.0	2.10	14.1	17.8	-3.70
Shammond Williams	40	39	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.06	-8	11	-19	16.4	13.7	2.64	14.0	18.0	-3.93
Walter McCarty	30	32	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	-0.10	-6	9	-15	16.8	13.9	2.84	14.0	17.6	-3.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.81,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.36,0.19,0.23,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.27,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 103, SAS 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.65,0.65,0.53,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.09,0.08,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.77,0.84,1	87.8%
MEM 86, PHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.75,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.35,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.46,0.76,0.64,0.84,0.91,1	87.7%
BOS 113, DAL 118	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.56,0.52,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.47,0.64,0.55,0.85,0.54,0.81,0.72,0.69,0.9,1	87.3%