NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	103		Excitement	10.1 [59]		MVP	Gary Neal (SAS): +47.7%
San Antonio Spurs	110		Comeback	58.9 [32]		LVP	Tony Allen (MEM): -23.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.45	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.45,0.45	0.09	0.40	0.04	17	63%	0.49	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.08
Sam Young	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.10	0.11	-0.01	12	67%	0.29	1	-0.08	3	100%	0.03
O.J. Mayo	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.06	-0.03	4	90%	0.14	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Darrell Arthur	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.03	7	29%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hamed Haddadi	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.02	20	48%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
Shane Battier	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.07	-0.01	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Greivis Vasquez	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	2	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Marc Gasol	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19	-0.11	-0.08	0.00	14	38%	-0.08	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.23,-0.23	-0.06	-0.17	-0.01	6	44%	-0.15	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48	0.48	0.05	0.43	-0.00	5	70%	0.48	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25	0.25	0.01	0.20	-0.03	7	60%	0.27	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.06
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.16,0.09,0.21,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.14	0.01	20	49%	0.18	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.02
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	3	75%	0.13	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	7	40%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	6	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.11	-0.14	0.09	18	72%	0.15	6	-0.27	10	90%	0.05
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.08,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.07	-0.12	0.02	13	43%	-0.10	3	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.7	2.3	30.2	16.0	27.1	1.8	45.0	1.6	20.3	167.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	1.9	16.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +38.4%

SAS +10.5%

SAS +1.8%

MEM -3.7%

SAS +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAS	NBA	MEM	SAS	NBA
this game	15.4	14.6	15.5	96.3	104.8	105.7
season	15.5	15.5		106.1	109.3
opponent	15.2	15.5		103.6	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MEM	16.0	14.5	13.7	16.9	16.2	15.4
SAS	13.3	15.5	17.0	12.4	15.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Young	65	63	0.50	-1.00	1.50	0.18	11	-18	29	15.9	14.5	1.36	14.2	15.2	-0.95
Marc Gasol	86	84	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.14	-4	-3	-1	15.1	16.3	-1.19	14.2	16.1	-1.85
Hamed Haddadi	1	0	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-7	7	0.0	15.5	-15.52	0.0	14.6	-14.62
Greivis Vasquez	19	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.15	-9	2	-11	15.9	15.2	0.70	16.1	14.2	1.90
Zach Randolph	86	88	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.07	-2	-5	3	16.1	12.5	3.55	14.4	15.8	-1.44
Mike Conley	88	84	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.44	2	-9	11	15.2	15.9	-0.70	14.2	16.1	-1.90
Shane Battier	68	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.31	-4	-3	-1	15.0	15.9	-0.90	15.5	13.1	2.33
Darrell Arthur	32	30	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	3	-13	15.2	15.5	-0.27	16.4	13.9	2.45
Tony Allen	49	45	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.41	-7	0	-7	15.5	15.3	0.21	15.0	14.4	0.59
O.J. Mayo	41	43	-0.86	0.36	-1.21	-0.50	-12	5	-17	14.5	15.9	-1.44	13.5	15.4	-1.91

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio McDyess	64	64	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.36	11	-4	15	13.8	15.8	-1.99	15.7	14.8	0.94
Manu Ginobili	84	84	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.35	10	-3	13	14.2	16.4	-2.26	16.0	13.0	3.08
Tim Duncan	80	83	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.30	4	3	1	14.2	16.1	-1.92	14.9	17.0	-2.10
Gary Neal	22	25	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	1	5	13.7	14.9	-1.13	10.8	16.8	-6.02
Richard Jefferson	65	64	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	7	-7	15.7	12.9	2.82	15.7	15.0	0.70
George Hill	62	64	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	-1	9	13.5	16.2	-2.73	14.8	16.3	-1.47
Tony Parker	84	86	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.16	-5	12	-17	15.0	13.3	1.67	16.1	12.3	3.84
Tiago Splitter	28	27	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	6	-5	16.5	13.9	2.52	16.6	14.9	1.68
Matt Bonner	36	38	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.11	0	7	-7	16.4	13.7	2.69	15.3	15.4	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.65,0.65,0.53,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.09,0.08,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.77,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 86, PHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.75,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.35,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.46,0.76,0.64,0.84,0.91,1	89.6%
DEN 102, BOS 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.36,0.43,0.27,0.54,0.55,0.78,0.78,0.85,1	89.2%
DEN 107, TOR 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.35,0.39,0.31,0.21,0.14,0.42,0.46,0.32,0.63,0.84,0.96,1	88.5%