inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 107 Excitement10.1 [70] MVPPatrick Patterson (TOR): +52.4%
Toronto Raptors 112 Comeback7.7 [273] LVPDarrell Arthur (DEN): -24.0%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Arron Afflalo0.240,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.140.09-0.001481%0.313-0.073100%0.02
JJ Hickson-0.000,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.000.02853%0.021-0.02367%-0.01
Timofey Mozgov-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.020.011452%0.021-0.021100%0.01
Erick Green-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.01333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Gary Harris-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Danilo Gallinari-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.0220%-0.031-0.0000%0.00
Alonzo Gee-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.010.01430%-0.061-0.02250%-0.01
Wilson Chandler-0.120,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.02,0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.02-0.080.022143%-0.101-0.0200%0.00
Ty Lawson-0.180,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.04,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.02-0.17-0.011950%-0.023-0.16667%0.01
Darrell Arthur-0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,-0.24-0.10-0.16-0.021735%-0.082-0.1600%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.520.520.180.34-0.001186%0.5200.0000%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.090.040.011172%0.162-0.04367%-0.02
Lou Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.10.100.10-0.02-0.021662%0.202-0.101090%0.03
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.01-0.001550%0.0500.00250%-0.01
Tyler Hansbrough0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Greivis Vasquez0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.01945%-0.021-0.02250%-0.01
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.03-0.01267%0.022-0.0720%-0.02
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.00-0.150.01387%0.133-0.29250%-0.06
Kyle Lowry0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.12-0.11-0.021338%-0.084-0.13887%0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.90.728.015.026.50.835.42.315.5149.0
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.62.017.8136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +85.2%
TOR +9.4%
DEN -40.3%
TOR +2.5%
DEN -6.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENTORNBADENTORNBA
this game15.515.215.1103.9107.7104.2
season14.615.6103.4109.1
opponent15.015.3106.8106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DEN14.715.215.217.115.215.5
TOR15.314.816.812.918.115.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darrell Arthur47470.06-0.560.63-0.085-101515.315.7-0.3414.815.5-0.71
Erick Green89-0.09-0.410.320.03-4-1-315.015.5-0.5512.115.5-3.40
JJ Hickson4244-0.09-0.410.32-0.090-5516.015.10.9216.114.61.51
Gary Harris1313-0.19-0.310.120.07-94-1313.515.8-2.3411.615.7-4.12
Danilo Gallinari1213-0.23-0.270.040.06-105-1514.715.6-0.9511.615.7-4.12
Wilson Chandler9091-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.434-91315.813.52.3415.711.64.12
Arron Afflalo8283-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.443-81116.013.82.1916.012.13.86
Timofey Mozgov9796-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.370-5515.516.2-0.7015.413.51.86
Ty Lawson9595-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.38-1-4315.515.00.5515.512.13.40
Alonzo Gee2929-0.520.02-0.54-0.14-138-2114.216.0-1.7613.415.9-2.46

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terrence Ross79760.68-0.180.860.487-2914.916.3-1.4516.114.02.09
Kyle Lowry80770.53-0.030.570.3950515.614.11.4816.413.03.35
Patrick Patterson74730.470.030.430.4414-315.115.6-0.5815.515.5-0.04
Amir Johnson59580.420.080.330.3041315.814.41.4115.815.10.74
James Johnson39390.300.200.100.36-27-915.714.90.8414.815.9-1.06
Lou Williams53550.200.30-0.090.036-1715.514.90.5914.916.2-1.36
Tyler Hansbrough880.180.32-0.14-0.1210-51510.915.6-4.7114.915.6-0.68
Jonas Valanciunas6161-0.100.60-0.690.08-611-1715.514.80.6915.215.9-0.68
Greivis Vasquez6768-0.180.68-0.87-0.1805-514.616.4-1.7514.916.7-1.83


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.35,0.39,0.31,0.21,0.14,0.42,0.46,0.32,0.63,0.84,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 117, SAC 1210.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.6,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.45,0.28,0.11,0.28,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.45,0.83,190.1%
MEM 103, SAS 1100.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.65,0.65,0.53,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.09,0.08,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.77,0.84,188.5%
HOU 111, DET 1160.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.65,0.73,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.46,0.35,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.4,0.33,0.47,0.36,0.22,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.86,1,187.7%