NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	111		Excitement	11.4 [44]		MVP	Blake Griffin (DET): +45.3%
Detroit Pistons	116		Comeback	4.3 [222]		LVP	Langston Galloway (DET): -11.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	-0.04	0.30	-0.00	14	37%	0.27	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Clint Capela	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.04	0.01	21	67%	0.25	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.06	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.07	0.04	16	56%	0.13	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.03,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	27	49%	0.46	7	-0.45	14	86%	0.05
PJ Tucker	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.03	10	55%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.01	4	62%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Clark	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.14,-0.26,-0.26,0.25,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45	0.45	0.03	0.43	0.01	18	58%	0.65	4	-0.20	12	67%	-0.06
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.09	0.34	0.02	12	58%	0.43	1	-0.03	14	86%	0.14
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.05	0.17	0.00	3	70%	0.22	0	0.00	4	75%	0.08
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.05	0.01	5	80%	0.17	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson III	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	5	83%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jon Leuer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.05	-0.02	18	52%	0.04	1	-0.04	8	62%	-0.03
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	8	44%	0.04	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	10	45%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	7	14%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.6	2.5	30.4	14.5	24.4	2.4	39.3	1.8	12.3	153.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	3.3	15.6	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +13.7%

DET +26.0%

DET +4.6%

DET +6.7%

HOU -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DET	NBA	HOU	DET	NBA
this game	15.6	15.3	14.3	107.8	112.6	109.3
season	14.8	15.3		114.0	107.5
opponent	14.0	14.4		109.0	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	12.7	15.7	15.5	18.8	17.0	15.6
DET	14.0	15.0	15.8	17.2	14.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Green	27	29	0.43	-0.93	1.35	0.10	11	-16	27	14.6	15.9	-1.35	17.4	14.5	2.96
Gary Clark	28	27	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.02	7	-12	19	14.9	15.8	-0.96	16.1	15.1	1.02
Isaiah Hartenstein	14	14	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.03	3	-8	11	13.1	15.9	-2.79	17.4	15.0	2.36
Eric Gordon	64	63	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.32	10	-15	25	15.5	15.6	-0.02	15.7	14.7	1.06
Chris Paul	73	76	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	8	-21	15.3	16.1	-0.72	15.2	15.6	-0.42
PJ Tucker	85	85	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	-2	-1	15.6	15.1	0.54	15.1	16.4	-1.29
James Ennis III	59	58	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.05	-15	10	-25	16.1	14.8	1.24	14.4	16.5	-2.08
James Harden	80	79	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.47	-14	9	-23	16.0	14.1	1.83	14.9	16.8	-1.92
Clint Capela	85	84	-1.11	0.61	-1.73	-0.79	-11	6	-17	15.8	14.2	1.61	15.1	16.4	-1.35

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Jackson	62	66	1.33	-0.83	2.15	0.83	17	-12	29	15.2	15.6	-0.40	16.1	14.5	1.58
Bruce Brown	45	46	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.42	18	-13	31	15.3	15.3	0.02	17.9	13.7	4.19
Andre Drummond	85	87	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.40	16	-11	27	14.7	18.1	-3.38	15.7	14.7	0.95
Reggie Bullock	77	76	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.48	1	4	-3	15.8	13.9	1.87	15.6	15.6	-0.00
Blake Griffin	83	84	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.36	5	0	5	15.0	16.6	-1.65	15.7	15.1	0.61
Glenn Robinson III	28	29	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	2	1	14.2	15.7	-1.47	14.0	16.2	-2.16
Jon Leuer	9	9	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.04	-6	11	-17	16.6	15.2	1.35	15.2	15.6	-0.36
Zaza Pachulia	9	7	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.09	-5	10	-15	19.7	14.9	4.76	14.1	15.7	-1.51
Ish Smith	42	39	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.18	-8	13	-21	15.7	15.1	0.58	14.5	16.2	-1.72
Stanley Johnson	31	30	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.10	-11	16	-27	16.6	14.8	1.85	14.6	15.9	-1.35
Langston Galloway	44	42	-0.58	1.08	-1.65	-0.43	-5	10	-15	14.7	15.7	-1.00	14.6	16.2	-1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.65,0.73,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.46,0.35,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.4,0.33,0.47,0.36,0.22,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.86,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 106, CHA 114	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.5,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.47,0.67,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.57,0.46,0.31,0.63,0.85,0.97,1	89.4%
CLE 95, GSW 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.43,0.74,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.91,1	88.6%
CHI 85, MIL 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.31,0.28,0.1,0.41,0.54,0.67,0.63,0.84,0.96,1	88.5%