NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Excitement	9.7 [80]		MVP	Donyell Marshall (GSW): +29.0%
Golden State Warriors	101		Comeback	3.7 [164]		LVP	Tyrone Hill (CLE): -32.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mills	0.19	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.25,0.25,0.39,0.31,0.19,0.19	-0.00	0.17	-0.02	16	50%	0.22	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.24
Danny Ferry	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.03	0.00	16	66%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Phills	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	9	61%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Lang	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark West	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donny Marshall	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06	-0.11	0.02	-0.03	21	41%	0.06	3	-0.12	4	50%	-0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	6	67%	0.06	4	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.00	-0.18	0.00	4	50%	-0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.13
Tyrone Hill	-0.32	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.32,-0.32	-0.06	-0.25	0.01	6	67%	-0.01	5	-0.31	3	67%	-0.05

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.17	0.14	0.02	15	88%	0.43	4	-0.14	4	75%	-0.02
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.11	0.00	6	87%	0.22	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Mark Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.01	8	90%	0.32	3	-0.21	4	100%	0.03
Ray Owes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.00	11	57%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	5	69%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.04	-0.00	5	42%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Lou Roe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.14,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.00	16	32%	0.08	6	-0.35	5	80%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.9	1.8	28.8	15.8	23.2	1.8	39.2	0.8	16.7	149.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +81.2%

CLE -23.3%

CLE -7.5%

CLE -3.4%

GSW +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	GSW	NBA	CLE	GSW	NBA
this game	17.8	16.7	15.6	103.3	109.8	104.4
season	17.8	15.0		102.1	104.4
opponent	15.4	16.1		109.1	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CLE	17.8	17.0	16.6	18.8	20.9	17.8
GSW	14.3	15.8	20.5	18.1	14.0	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Ferry	75	78	0.38	-0.88	1.26	0.17	7	-13	20	17.5	19.3	-1.79	16.9	15.5	1.45
Vitaly Potapenko	45	44	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.08	4	-10	14	17.3	18.4	-1.07	17.3	16.2	1.13
Antonio Lang	15	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-6	6	15.7	18.2	-2.51	15.3	17.0	-1.75
Mark West	7	6	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-1	-4	19.6	17.7	1.88	17.5	16.7	0.83
Donny Marshall	5	4	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-1	-4	21.2	17.6	3.56	11.5	17.0	-5.47
Bob Sura	45	45	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	0	-6	18.5	17.2	1.36	17.1	16.4	0.66
Chris Mills	87	88	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.36	-1	-5	4	17.6	21.2	-3.56	17.0	11.5	5.47
Terrell Brandon	76	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.34	-2	-4	2	17.7	18.4	-0.65	17.0	15.1	1.91
Tyrone Hill	31	32	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.45	-8	2	-10	19.7	16.9	2.82	17.0	16.6	0.37
Bobby Phills	65	63	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.49	-8	2	-10	17.2	19.3	-2.07	15.9	18.5	-2.56

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Price	71	73	0.97	-0.47	1.44	0.68	10	-4	14	16.7	16.9	-0.23	18.0	17.3	0.66
Donyell Marshall	76	75	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.39	10	-4	14	16.1	19.7	-3.58	18.6	14.6	3.91
Andrew DeClercq	54	55	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.44	8	-2	10	17.7	15.3	2.36	18.4	17.0	1.35
Latrell Sprewell	92	92	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	16.7	0.0	16.73	17.8	0.0	17.84
Joe Smith	28	26	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	3	0	15.8	17.1	-1.30	17.6	17.9	-0.31
Scott Burrell	44	44	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	6	-6	16.5	16.9	-0.44	16.7	18.9	-2.13
Todd Fuller	36	35	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	10	-14	16.1	17.2	-1.11	17.5	18.1	-0.61
Ray Owes	28	31	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.21	-7	13	-20	20.5	15.1	5.37	16.5	18.5	-2.04
Lou Roe	23	20	-0.47	0.97	-1.45	-0.41	-2	8	-10	15.7	17.1	-1.43	17.2	18.0	-0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.43,0.74,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 102, UTA 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.38,0.25,0.21,0.28,0.26,0.47,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.84,0.46,0.31,0.36,0.69,0.9,1	91.1%
HOU 109, MEM 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.72,1	90.9%
SAS 98, MEM 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.71,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.21,0.23,0.73,0.46,0.55,0.36,0.45,0.43,1	90.2%