NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	109		Excitement	11.8 [23]		MVP	Wesley Person (MEM): +31.8%
Memphis Grizzlies	114		Comeback	4.4 [174]		LVP	Lorenzen Wright (MEM): -25.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.02	0.15	-0.01	21	52%	0.20	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.05
Terence Morris	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.02	-0.06	0.04	-0.00	13	60%	0.21	6	-0.22	4	100%	0.02
Kelvin Cato	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	4	67%	0.02	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Glen Rice	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.05	0.02	14	52%	-0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Kenny Thomas	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	7	50%	-0.04	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Steve Francis	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,-0.13,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.01,-0.1,-0.16	-0.01	-0.15	0.00	23	54%	0.14	3	-0.31	8	50%	-0.12

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0.32	0.32	0.16	0.17	0.01	12	78%	0.32	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Jason Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.08	0.16	-0.03	22	57%	0.28	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.04,0.04,-0.08,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	14	66%	0.27	3	-0.25	16	94%	0.17
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	61%	0.05	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Mike Batiste	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	4	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.09
Drew Gooden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	7	37%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	6	29%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.10	-0.15	0.01	9	33%	-0.15	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.7	1.7	28.1	15.6	22.2	2.6	39.3	1.7	16.2	152.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU -2.3%

MEM +37.4%

MEM +5.3%

MEM +15.6%

HOU -5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MEM	NBA	HOU	MEM	NBA
this game	16.1	15.1	15.5	109.0	109.6	101.6
season	16.3	15.3		101.7	101.8
opponent	15.2	15.4		105.1	100.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	16.3	14.0	17.0	18.5	14.4	16.1
MEM	14.4	14.2	15.7	16.7	14.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelvin Cato	29	30	0.16	-0.66	0.81	0.07	3	-8	11	16.3	16.1	0.19	15.1	15.0	0.06
Moochie Norris	39	40	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.08	1	-6	7	16.0	16.2	-0.19	15.2	15.0	0.19
Terence Morris	3	3	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.03	4	-9	13	22.0	16.0	6.04	9.7	15.2	-5.55
Kenny Thomas	63	65	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-7	9	16.5	15.5	0.99	14.8	15.5	-0.73
Cuttino Mobley	91	94	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.38	-3	-2	-1	16.4	13.6	2.84	15.1	14.2	0.95
Steve Francis	93	96	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	16.5	11.6	4.91	15.1	14.5	0.60
Eddie Griffin	37	39	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.36	-7	2	-9	15.5	16.5	-0.99	15.5	14.8	0.73
Glen Rice	77	82	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.41	-8	3	-11	15.5	18.3	-2.87	14.8	15.9	-1.02
Yao Ming	68	71	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.39	-12	7	-19	15.8	16.8	-0.99	15.3	14.6	0.66

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzen Wright	60	60	1.13	-0.63	1.76	0.81	11	-6	17	16.0	13.8	2.23	15.6	16.9	-1.31
Wesley Person	79	77	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.38	14	-9	23	15.3	14.2	1.08	15.9	16.8	-0.83
Pau Gasol	82	78	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.37	11	-6	17	15.6	13.1	2.44	15.8	17.3	-1.45
Jason Williams	82	78	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.37	11	-6	17	15.6	13.1	2.44	15.8	17.3	-1.45
Shane Battier	49	43	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.40	-2	7	-9	15.0	15.1	-0.19	16.1	16.2	-0.04
Drew Gooden	55	57	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.05	7	-2	9	15.1	15.0	0.19	16.2	16.1	0.04
Earl Watson	22	22	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.01	-6	11	-17	13.1	15.6	-2.44	17.3	15.8	1.45
Stromile Swift	43	40	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.15	-3	8	-11	14.0	15.8	-1.72	16.9	15.6	1.31
Gordan Giricek	25	23	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.02	-9	14	-23	14.2	15.3	-1.08	16.8	15.9	0.83
Mike Batiste	23	22	-0.58	1.08	-1.65	-0.31	-9	14	-23	12.7	15.7	-3.09	17.3	15.8	1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 97, NOK 100	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.45,0.32,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.32,0.42,1	91.0%
CLE 95, GSW 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.43,0.74,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.91,1	90.9%
MEM 103, MIL 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.27,0.25,0.46,0.45,0.85,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.68,0.58,1	90.0%