NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	97		Excitement	11.9 [22]		MVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): +44.9%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	100		Comeback	4.6 [303]		LVP	Chucky Atkins (MEM): -37.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.45	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.21,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45	0.06	0.40	0.01	22	56%	0.52	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Alexander Johnson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.15	0.00	0.14	0.00	2	67%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	3	57%	0.06	0	0.00	8	100%	0.06
Mike Miller	0.02	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.15,-0.15,0,0.1,0.02,0.02	0.09	-0.06	0.01	15	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	0	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Cardinal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.09	-0.10	0.00	4	82%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Dahntay Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	36%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12	0.02	-0.13	-0.00	7	64%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.37	-0.07	-0.31	-0.00	9	28%	-0.12	1	-0.26	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.3	0.30	0.13	0.17	-0.00	9	85%	0.33	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	-0.07	0.22	-0.01	12	43%	0.23	3	-0.07	11	73%	0.03
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.05	0.01	9	67%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.09,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.01	18	47%	0.11	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	13	48%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.06	0.01	12	59%	0.24	5	-0.22	5	60%	-0.03
Cedric Simmons	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linton Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.11	-0.01	5	43%	0.05	2	-0.21	4	50%	-0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	4	0%	-0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.3	1.7	30.2	14.8	28.7	1.6	32.1	1.0	13.6	149.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +26.3%

NOK +13.0%

NOK +21.6%

MEM -11.1%

NOK +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NOK	NBA	MEM	NOK	NBA
this game	17.1	16.7	15.4	103.2	106.4	104.5
season	15.1	16.0		105.1	102.8
opponent	15.3	15.1		104.4	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MEM	15.7	17.6	17.2	18.0	17.5	17.1
NOK	15.7	17.5	18.8	17.1	12.5	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dahntay Jones	39	41	0.24	-0.74	0.99	-0.02	9	-12	21	17.5	16.8	0.68	18.6	15.3	3.32
Pau Gasol	49	48	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-6	9	17.8	16.3	1.50	17.2	16.2	0.97
Hakim Warrick	22	20	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-4	5	15.1	17.7	-2.65	16.5	16.8	-0.27
Rudy Gay	16	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-1	-1	13.9	17.8	-3.91	15.8	16.9	-1.08
Eddie Jones	39	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.14	-9	6	-15	16.4	17.6	-1.16	17.2	16.4	0.75
Brian Cardinal	34	36	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.44	6	-9	15	17.1	17.1	0.00	16.7	16.7	-0.03
Stromile Swift	27	27	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.13	-17	14	-31	17.1	17.1	-0.06	15.4	17.2	-1.78
Mike Miller	80	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-4	5	17.4	15.5	1.90	17.0	15.3	1.69
Alexander Johnson	51	52	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.50	3	-6	9	17.7	16.4	1.29	16.8	16.6	0.26
Chucky Atkins	50	52	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.45	1	-4	5	16.5	17.8	-1.23	16.0	17.6	-1.68
Damon Stoudamire	63	61	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.47	-11	8	-19	17.9	15.5	2.39	15.9	18.3	-2.45

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Jackson	50	50	0.98	-0.48	1.45	0.62	12	-9	21	15.5	18.1	-2.55	16.4	17.9	-1.53
Jannero Pargo	52	50	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.48	7	-4	11	16.0	17.6	-1.55	16.4	17.9	-1.53
Desmond Mason	79	81	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.42	2	1	1	15.9	21.2	-5.34	17.2	16.5	0.76
Rasual Butler	72	72	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.57	-4	7	-11	16.0	19.1	-3.16	17.3	16.4	0.98
Cedric Simmons	7	6	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	0	3	17.9	16.6	1.24	19.8	16.9	2.90
Devin Brown	19	18	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	2	-1	19.8	15.9	3.86	17.0	17.1	-0.14
Tyson Chandler	45	48	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	5	-7	18.0	15.5	2.47	18.4	15.8	2.57
Chris Paul	74	74	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	5	-7	17.4	14.2	3.13	17.0	17.6	-0.61
Linton Johnson	16	16	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.40	10	-7	17	14.7	17.1	-2.37	17.3	17.1	0.24
Hilton Armstrong	46	45	-0.48	0.98	-1.46	-0.04	-15	18	-33	19.2	14.3	4.95	16.6	17.6	-1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.45,0.32,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.32,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 109, MEM 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.72,1	91.0%
SAS 98, MEM 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.71,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.21,0.23,0.73,0.46,0.55,0.36,0.45,0.43,1	90.6%
LAC 109, CHI 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.23,0.53,0.71,0.45,0.27,0.54,0.39,0.22,0.32,0.58,1	89.2%