NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	109		Excitement	11.1 [35]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +40.4%
Chicago Bulls	115		Comeback	23.6 [58]		LVP	Baron Davis (LAC): -26.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.09	0.02	16	56%	0.15	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Al Thornton	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.00	0.08	-0.01	19	48%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Mardy Collins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.02	9	71%	0.14	3	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
Mike Taylor	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.01,-0.16	-0.01	-0.17	-0.02	22	52%	0.25	4	-0.40	14	71%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27	-0.17	-0.15	-0.05	23	33%	-0.14	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.07	0.34	0.01	15	63%	0.50	3	-0.09	5	80%	-0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.17	0.19	-0.00	14	71%	0.36	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,0.13,0.13	0.13	-0.04	0.16	-0.00	9	41%	0.17	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	4	78%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	78%	0.09	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	17	38%	-0.02	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.03
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	8	46%	-0.02	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.02
Drew Gooden	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	0.02	-0.21	0.01	18	49%	-0.10	1	-0.10	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	20.9	2.6	33.2	15.7	27.1	2.3	37.2	1.8	19.0	159.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	2.0	41.4	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +22.0%

CHI +25.8%

LAC -35.7%

CHI +39.5%

LAC -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CHI	NBA	LAC	CHI	NBA
this game	16.5	13.9	15.5	105.8	108.5	106.4
season	15.7	14.8		100.7	106.3
opponent	15.7	15.1		107.2	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAC	17.0	18.4	13.1	17.2	18.3	16.5
CHI	14.4	12.3	15.7	14.0	12.3	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Skinner	5	6	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.07	4	-10	14	15.8	16.6	-0.76	16.0	13.8	2.18
Al Thornton	85	86	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-7	8	16.1	18.6	-2.53	14.2	12.8	1.41
DeAndre Jordan	1	0	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-6	6	0.0	16.7	-16.69	0.0	13.9	-13.94
Jason Hart	11	11	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-5	4	16.5	16.5	-0.08	15.0	13.8	1.18
Steve Novak	2	2	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-4	2	12.0	16.6	-4.61	2.0	14.2	-12.17
Zach Randolph	85	90	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.16	3	-9	12	17.0	14.5	2.45	13.8	14.7	-0.95
Mike Taylor	12	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.09	-6	0	-6	18.7	16.2	2.42	13.6	14.0	-0.34
Paul Davis	15	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-1	-4	17.1	16.4	0.71	14.3	13.9	0.43
Eric Gordon	93	95	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.36	2	-8	10	16.3	19.0	-2.74	14.2	12.1	2.07
Mardy Collins	30	28	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	1	-8	16.9	16.4	0.53	14.5	13.7	0.76
Marcus Camby	81	84	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.38	-6	0	-6	16.4	16.9	-0.43	13.8	14.5	-0.70
Baron Davis	86	90	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.35	-7	1	-8	16.5	16.5	0.06	13.7	15.1	-1.32

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Rose	85	82	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.45	7	-1	8	13.7	15.0	-1.32	16.8	15.5	1.32
Drew Gooden	78	75	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.43	7	-1	8	14.3	12.9	1.48	16.7	16.0	0.67
Andres Nocioni	69	68	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.16	13	-7	20	13.9	14.0	-0.09	17.1	15.4	1.66
Luol Deng	86	82	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.41	4	2	2	13.6	15.4	-1.86	16.5	16.5	0.06
Ben Gordon	79	77	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	0	6	14.3	12.8	1.56	16.8	15.8	1.01
Larry Hughes	54	53	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	7	-8	13.6	14.3	-0.68	15.7	17.4	-1.66
Joakim Noah	49	51	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.11	6	0	6	13.3	14.5	-1.22	15.8	17.2	-1.47
Tyrus Thomas	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	5	-4	13.0	14.1	-1.05	17.9	16.4	1.52
Aaron Gray	20	18	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.15	-13	19	-32	15.9	13.5	2.41	15.2	16.8	-1.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.23,0.53,0.71,0.45,0.27,0.54,0.39,0.22,0.32,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 97, NOK 100	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.45,0.32,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.32,0.42,1	89.2%
DEN 107, ATL 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.19,0.14,0.33,0.22,0.24,0.46,0.45,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.16,0.43,0.59,1	87.8%
DAL 114, DEN 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.34,0.14,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.32,0.63,0.32,0.28,0.54,0.31,0.55,0.22,0.18,1	87.6%