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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 107 Excitement11.3 [35] MVPEduardo Najera (DEN): +35.6%
Atlanta Hawks 110 Comeback8.4 [207] LVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): -44.9%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eduardo Najera0.360,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.36,0.360.100.260.004100%0.391-0.043100%0.07
Andre Miller0.120,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.03,-0.1,-0.1,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.120.030.100.011754%0.292-0.16367%-0.01
DerMarr Johnson0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.06-0.020.001262%0.051-0.0100%0.00
Earl Watson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.03-0.001443%0.0300.0000%0.00
Francisco Elson0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.03-0.01450%0.052-0.04250%-0.02
Linas Kleiza-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01839%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Carmelo Anthony-0.450,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.31,-0.45-0.04-0.380.032451%0.026-0.472479%-0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Johnson0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.24,0.24,0.240.240.110.140.012654%0.2400.00475%0.01
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.010.17-0.011152%0.232-0.057100%0.10
Josh Smith0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.23,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.04,0.140.140.030.10-0.011754%0.402-0.251100%0.01
Salim Stoudamire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.020.00467%0.071-0.021100%0.00
John Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00050%0.0000.00250%-0.01
Al Harrington0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,00.00-0.070.05-0.011544%0.083-0.082100%0.01
John Edwards00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tyronn Lue0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02-0.020.11-0.110.011271%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Royal Ivey0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Josh Childress0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.060.00750%-0.031-0.042100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.12.327.615.724.22.333.51.516.2148.4
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.01.817.8144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +8.7%
ATL +3.2%
ATL +12.9%
ATL +21.1%
ATL +4.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENATLNBADENATLNBA
this game15.317.515.6109.2114.6104.4
season14.415.6103.5103.9
opponent15.515.9109.3103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DEN13.016.815.014.621.415.3
ATL15.817.517.719.018.417.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Linas Kleiza50480.25-0.750.990.105-81314.516.1-1.5616.618.4-1.75
DerMarr Johnson6367-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.20-2-1-116.014.11.9417.218.2-1.01
Andre Miller8181-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.516-91515.116.1-0.9818.014.93.04
Earl Watson6157-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.31-41-514.616.4-1.8116.419.1-2.70
Eduardo Najera6564-0.560.06-0.61-0.44-41-515.415.20.2317.717.20.47
Carmelo Anthony9086-0.580.08-0.67-0.38-74-1115.315.7-0.4817.616.80.78
Francisco Elson8077-0.590.09-0.67-0.32-96-1515.912.63.3018.413.84.56

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh Smith51540.80-0.301.100.5110-71718.416.51.9516.414.02.37
Zaza Pachulia61640.75-0.251.000.3115-122717.617.30.3416.712.83.89
Joe Johnson88910.58-0.080.660.416-3917.714.92.8615.513.32.18
Tyronn Lue60620.54-0.040.580.4530318.116.61.5115.514.90.66
Al Harrington89900.54-0.040.570.337-41117.517.7-0.2314.919.5-4.57
Royal Ivey17170.050.45-0.410.0212-117.617.50.1814.615.4-0.80
John Edwards54-0.010.51-0.520.02-14-515.217.6-2.436.215.7-9.44
John Thomas44-0.040.54-0.570.02-25-726.717.19.6510.715.5-4.75
Salim Stoudamire2222-0.160.66-0.81-0.07-36-915.418.1-2.7116.115.11.07
Josh Childress4343-0.170.67-0.850.09-912-2116.018.7-2.7214.615.9-1.25
Marvin Williams4039-0.380.88-1.25-0.03-1215-2716.917.9-1.0713.716.4-2.64


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.19,0.14,0.33,0.22,0.24,0.46,0.45,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.16,0.43,0.59,1
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 110, GSW 1130.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.35,0.27,0.38,0.45,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.45,0.21,0.43,0.16,190.4%
NJN 92, HOU 990.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.68,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.23,0.3,0.34,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.33,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.57,0.84,190.4%
CLE 95, GSW 1010.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.43,0.74,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.91,189.5%