NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	110		Excitement	11.8 [13]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (GSW): +64.8%
Golden State Warriors	113		Comeback	10.8 [150]		LVP	Nick Van Exel (GSW): -32.4%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.29	0.04	0.24	-0.01	14	53%	0.29	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Rashard Lewis	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	22	53%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Ray Allen	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.31,0.09	-0.02	0.09	-0.02	27	49%	0.18	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Jerome James	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	6	69%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Richie Frahm	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ronald Murray	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	10	41%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Brent Barry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	6	67%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	4	62%	-0.01	2	-0.09	5	80%	0.03

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.41,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.65	0.65	0.22	0.43	0.00	16	80%	0.65	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Jason Richardson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23	0.23	0.05	0.18	0.00	18	60%	0.30	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.00	9	62%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.07
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	67%	0.10	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	10	45%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.14	-0.04	-0.00	9	25%	-0.11	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.44,-0.44,-0.39,-0.21,-0.31,-0.32	-0.32	-0.13	-0.20	-0.00	14	37%	-0.23	2	-0.09	7	57%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.5	2.3	24.4	16.5	27.3	2.8	35.1	2.4	11.9	144.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	2.0	17.4	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +23.8%

GSW +5.8%

GSW +50.4%

SEA -20.7%

SEA -9.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	GSW	NBA	SEA	GSW	NBA
this game	15.3	15.7	15.7	106.8	110.8	100.5
season	15.6	16.1		105.0	100.8
opponent	15.3	15.7		101.6	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SEA	15.5	15.3	14.7	16.1	14.7	15.3
GSW	15.8	16.0	16.6	15.9	12.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richie Frahm	7	9	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.02	9	-12	21	13.1	15.5	-2.37	15.1	15.7	-0.62
Ronald Murray	37	38	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.09	1	-4	5	16.7	14.6	2.07	17.2	14.8	2.44
Calvin Booth	33	32	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-4	5	15.0	15.5	-0.51	15.4	15.8	-0.44
Jerome James	23	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-2	1	17.1	14.8	2.24	18.3	14.9	3.39
Reggie Evans	43	41	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	0	-3	16.2	14.7	1.48	16.9	14.9	1.97
Antonio Daniels	47	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	2	-7	15.9	14.9	0.92	16.4	15.1	1.34
Vladimir Radmanovic	64	65	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.40	6	-9	15	14.6	16.6	-2.04	15.1	16.7	-1.57
Rashard Lewis	88	87	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.49	-3	0	-3	15.0	17.2	-2.17	15.4	17.3	-1.94
Ray Allen	88	86	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.40	-10	7	-17	15.1	16.6	-1.46	15.3	17.4	-2.09
Brent Barry	74	72	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.49	-7	4	-11	15.1	16.0	-0.95	14.8	17.7	-2.91

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cardinal	66	67	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.66	5	-2	7	15.8	15.4	0.49	15.8	14.5	1.31
Jason Richardson	91	94	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.53	7	-4	11	15.3	18.9	-3.62	15.1	17.4	-2.30
Clifford Robinson	71	71	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.47	5	-2	7	15.3	16.5	-1.21	15.5	14.9	0.60
Nick Van Exel	83	83	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.39	4	-1	5	15.1	18.2	-3.11	15.5	14.8	0.62
Mike Dunleavy	49	49	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.12	7	-4	11	15.6	15.7	-0.08	15.2	15.5	-0.36
Calbert Cheaney	56	56	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	6	-9	16.6	14.5	2.10	15.4	15.3	0.06
Erick Dampier	45	46	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	8	-13	16.2	15.3	0.94	15.3	15.4	-0.12
Speedy Claxton	38	38	-0.60	1.10	-1.70	-0.37	-8	11	-19	17.2	14.8	2.44	14.9	15.6	-0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.35,0.27,0.38,0.45,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.45,0.21,0.43,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 107, ATL 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.19,0.14,0.33,0.22,0.24,0.46,0.45,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.16,0.43,0.59,1	90.4%
MEM 97, NOK 100	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.45,0.32,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.32,0.42,1	88.1%
HOU 109, MEM 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.72,1	87.0%