NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	117		Excitement	10.8 [28]		MVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): +42.2%
Sacramento Kings	121		Comeback	13.8 [90]		LVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): -46.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0.25	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.28,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.25	0.27	0.01	0.04	27	77%	0.38	2	-0.14	15	87%	0.03
Shawn Marion	0.05	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.03,0.05	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	19	42%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Santiago	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Paul McPherson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.01	17	44%	0.04	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Corie Blount	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0	100%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Chris Dudley	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.01	-0.14	0.01	2	64%	-0.15	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.18
Clifford Robinson	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.02	-0.01	10	20%	-0.07	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.46	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.18,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.47,-0.47,-0.46	-0.16	-0.31	-0.01	18	32%	-0.30	3	-0.17	2	100%	0.04

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42	0.42	0.07	0.35	-0.00	15	74%	0.52	4	-0.10	16	75%	0.07
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	0.00	6	83%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	5	45%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.18	-0.21	0.00	22	72%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	5	53%	-0.05	2	-0.04	7	71%	0.02
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	6	36%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	10	40%	-0.07	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.35,-0.47,-0.3,-0.38,-0.26,-0.21	-0.21	-0.05	-0.17	-0.00	10	58%	0.13	4	-0.35	6	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	345.1	2.4	28.5	15.5	24.3	2.4	37.4	1.4	15.2	472.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	1.7	17.2	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +42.0%

SAC +35.1%

PHX -0.3%

PHX -21.3%

PHX -5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAC	NBA	PHX	SAC	NBA
this game	14.0	15.0	15.5	106.4	111.0	100.9
season	14.9	14.4		97.7	103.1
opponent	15.5	15.4		97.8	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	14.7	14.7	14.1	13.2	12.7	14.0
SAC	13.6	13.0	17.2	16.8	14.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corie Blount	35	34	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.02	4	-8	12	12.3	14.9	-2.62	14.8	15.1	-0.34
Clifford Robinson	51	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	1	-6	15.6	12.7	2.95	15.3	14.8	0.52
Elliot Perry	5	4	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.08	-9	5	-14	18.0	13.9	4.14	7.5	15.3	-7.79
Daniel Santiago	12	12	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.07	-9	5	-14	17.7	13.6	4.06	13.4	15.2	-1.78
Chris Dudley	51	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.38	5	-9	14	13.9	14.2	-0.27	16.5	13.7	2.73
Tony Delk	103	102	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.47	7	-11	18	13.8	17.6	-3.77	15.4	9.4	5.95
Paul McPherson	20	21	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	7	-18	13.2	14.2	-1.03	12.5	15.6	-3.13
Rodney Rogers	86	84	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.50	4	-8	12	13.3	16.7	-3.41	14.8	15.7	-0.88
Shawn Marion	73	74	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.37	-5	1	-6	14.3	13.6	0.72	14.9	15.3	-0.42
Jason Kidd	82	82	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.39	-9	5	-14	13.8	14.8	-1.04	14.8	15.7	-0.98

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	97	98	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.50	11	-7	18	14.6	18.0	-3.37	13.9	15.4	-1.54
Scot Pollard	54	54	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.30	13	-9	22	15.8	14.2	1.54	14.5	13.6	0.89
Doug Christie	81	80	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.56	-1	5	-6	14.8	15.6	-0.77	13.6	15.3	-1.68
Jason Williams	69	72	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.24	7	-3	10	14.1	16.6	-2.49	13.8	14.6	-0.77
Vlade Divac	87	88	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.38	-9	13	-22	15.6	12.7	2.85	13.6	15.7	-2.10
Chris Webber	15	16	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	-1	6	11.7	15.5	-3.79	15.9	13.7	2.21
Bobby Jackson	39	38	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	7	-10	15.7	14.6	1.12	14.4	13.8	0.57
Jon Barry	35	34	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.19	7	-3	10	14.9	15.1	-0.21	14.2	14.0	0.27
Hedo Turkoglu	9	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	5	-6	16.4	14.9	1.57	15.2	13.9	1.28
Lawrence Funderburke	59	61	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	-0.05	-9	13	-22	15.6	14.3	1.33	14.4	13.6	0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.6,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.45,0.28,0.11,0.28,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.45,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 95, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.82,0.85,0.8,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.25,0.16,0.1,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.32,0.69,1	91.8%
DEN 107, TOR 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.35,0.39,0.31,0.21,0.14,0.42,0.46,0.32,0.63,0.84,0.96,1	90.1%
UTA 81, SAC 84	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.47,0.61,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.71,0.58,1	87.8%