NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	83		Excitement	7.0 [441]		MVP	Deron Williams (DAL): +33.5%
Chicago Bulls	77		Comeback	3.8 [315]		LVP	Zaza Pachulia (DAL): -14.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.33	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.19,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.33	0.09	0.26	0.02	12	67%	0.35	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.18,0.17	0.06	0.09	-0.01	15	57%	0.19	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
JaVale McGee	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	56%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Chandler Parsons	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.05	-0.02	9	44%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Devin Harris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Villanueva	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	10	40%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	10	41%	-0.05	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	3	64%	0.04	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.07	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.11,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	18	47%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.00	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	25%	0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	10	41%	-0.05	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	14	53%	0.00	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	11	18%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	27.6	15.7	23.1	1.8	32.3	128.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +54.9%

DAL +6.4%

CHI -18.3%

DAL +5.2%

DAL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CHI	NBA	DAL	CHI	NBA
this game	17.1	16.0	14.9	95.4	88.5	105.1
season	15.5	14.8		105.0	103.7
opponent	14.9	14.7		105.1	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.0	16.8	16.4	18.1	17.1
CHI	13.8	16.7	19.6	14.6	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chandler Parsons	59	59	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.41	13	-7	20	17.8	15.6	2.15	16.2	15.6	0.63
Dirk Nowitzki	59	62	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.29	14	-8	22	16.9	17.4	-0.48	16.5	14.9	1.57
Wesley Matthews	69	68	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.36	-1	7	-8	16.5	19.3	-2.81	15.6	17.5	-1.95
Deron Williams	67	66	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.33	-2	8	-10	16.6	18.7	-2.14	15.7	16.9	-1.13
Jose Juan Barea	34	34	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	1	4	17.6	16.8	0.89	17.7	14.9	2.80
Zaza Pachulia	62	62	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.31	-4	10	-14	16.9	17.6	-0.70	16.2	15.4	0.79
JaVale McGee	13	13	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	1	4	18.3	16.9	1.42	16.3	15.9	0.36
Dwight Powell	26	26	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.03	3	3	0	17.2	17.0	0.18	15.2	16.3	-1.10
Devin Harris	23	24	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.10	5	1	4	17.1	17.1	-0.02	16.6	15.8	0.81
Raymond Felton	17	16	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	8	-10	18.3	16.8	1.48	13.1	16.6	-3.52
Charlie Villanueva	6	5	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.01	-6	12	-18	16.5	17.1	-0.65	12.6	16.2	-3.61

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Mirotic	26	27	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.19	-3	-3	0	16.0	16.0	-0.00	15.3	17.9	-2.67
Doug McDermott	35	35	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.01	3	-9	12	17.3	15.1	2.25	18.0	16.5	1.55
Aaron Brooks	12	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.06	0	-6	6	19.1	15.5	3.58	15.9	17.3	-1.38
E'Twaun Moore	40	41	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-10	14	15.3	16.6	-1.25	17.7	16.6	1.14
Joakim Noah	11	11	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	-2	-2	13.5	16.4	-2.81	18.8	16.9	1.96
Kirk Hinrich	14	14	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.11	-9	3	-12	14.4	16.3	-1.96	18.6	16.8	1.75
Bobby Portis	10	9	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	-2	-2	20.7	15.4	5.31	19.6	16.8	2.74
Derrick Rose	61	61	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	-0.37	3	-9	12	15.8	16.5	-0.77	17.0	17.3	-0.35
Pau Gasol	66	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.36	2	-8	10	15.7	17.0	-1.26	16.7	18.5	-1.81
Jimmy Butler	67	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.27	-7	1	-8	15.9	16.4	-0.52	16.3	19.6	-3.31
Taj Gibson	55	53	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	-3	0	16.2	15.7	0.44	17.7	16.2	1.47
Tony Snell	38	38	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.22	-12	6	-18	15.4	16.4	-0.98	17.1	17.1	0.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.53,0.26,0.21,0.04,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 108, MIN 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.39,0.15,0.14,0.01,0	92.5%
PHI 82, MIL 79	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.04,0	91.5%
ORL 81, NYK 72	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.38,0.35,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.71,0.53,0.63,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.25,0.07,0.02,0.01,0	91.3%