NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	108		Excitement	7.7 [296]		MVP	Felipe Lopez (MIN): +12.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	99		Comeback	4.8 [184]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -20.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11	0.01	0.10	-0.00	20	50%	0.11	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Scottie Pippen	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.06	0.14	0.01	9	60%	0.18	4	-0.11	12	92%	0.10
Shawn Kemp	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	9	57%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	9	67%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.01	8	59%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Chris Dudley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	11	54%	0.01	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.05
Ruben Patterson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	11	27%	-0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.09	0.00	2	125%	0.19	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.01	13	71%	0.17	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	9	62%	0.04	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Sam Mitchell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.08
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	0.02	6	50%	0.05	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	6	65%	-0.03	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	7	14%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.08	-0.12	0.01	20	48%	-0.14	3	-0.06	8	62%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	0.8	28.4	15.0	23.2	1.7	43.3	140.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -19.1%

POR +34.8%

POR +30.8%

POR +8.2%

MIN -4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIN	NBA	POR	MIN	NBA
this game	15.8	14.6	15.6	112.5	106.5	102.3
season	16.0	15.0		105.0	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.6		103.8	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.6	20.1	15.2	12.5	15.8
MIN	13.4	14.9	16.9	13.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	82	79	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.33	13	-4	17	15.3	18.9	-3.65	14.6	15.0	-0.42
Rasheed Wallace	83	81	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.26	15	-6	21	15.3	19.3	-4.04	14.1	18.2	-4.04
Scottie Pippen	57	56	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.35	7	2	5	14.5	17.8	-3.30	14.9	14.3	0.62
Bonzi Wells	60	58	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.39	4	5	-1	15.4	16.5	-1.10	15.0	14.1	0.94
Dale Davis	62	60	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.16	6	3	3	16.1	15.3	0.80	16.0	12.2	3.72
Shawn Kemp	39	37	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.11	3	6	-3	16.9	15.0	1.91	14.0	15.1	-1.07
Derek Anderson	44	41	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.08	4	5	-1	17.2	14.7	2.49	14.8	14.5	0.33
Ruben Patterson	33	33	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.16	2	7	-5	16.5	15.4	1.12	12.9	15.6	-2.64
Rick Brunson	14	14	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.10	-4	13	-17	18.9	15.3	3.65	15.0	14.6	0.42
Chris Dudley	6	6	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.09	-5	14	-19	16.0	15.8	0.20	14.8	14.6	0.20

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Trent	28	29	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.09	-1	-8	7	14.0	14.9	-0.97	15.1	16.1	-1.07
Sam Mitchell	3	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-8	7	4.0	15.0	-11.00	10.5	15.9	-5.43
Chauncey Billups	55	56	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.15	4	-13	17	13.5	16.2	-2.69	15.1	16.8	-1.74
Marc Jackson	13	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-7	5	13.9	14.8	-0.84	21.2	14.9	6.32
Rasho Nesterovic	43	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	-3	-3	16.0	13.5	2.43	16.2	15.4	0.78
Felipe Lopez	11	12	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-5	1	14.4	14.7	-0.32	12.3	16.3	-3.98
Joe Smith	65	65	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.27	-1	-8	7	15.6	12.5	3.12	16.0	15.4	0.63
Wally Szczerbiak	86	87	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.25	-3	-6	3	14.5	16.7	-2.24	16.2	12.3	3.84
Anthony Peeler	41	42	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.06	-12	3	-15	15.1	14.3	0.85	14.7	16.7	-1.95
Robert Pack	40	42	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.11	-12	3	-15	15.8	13.8	2.03	16.4	15.4	0.97
Kevin Garnett	80	84	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.28	-7	-2	-5	14.1	18.1	-3.99	15.8	15.9	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.39,0.15,0.14,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 115, TOR 107	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.4,0.28,0.31,0.21,0.07,0.04,0	92.5%
DAL 83, CHI 77	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.53,0.26,0.21,0.04,0.05,0	92.5%
BOS 92, MIN 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.59,0.65,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.39,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.16,0	92.4%