NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	82		Excitement	8.7 [145]		MVP	J.R. Reid (MIL): +1.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	79		Comeback	3.1 [79]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -45.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,0.01,-0.01	-0.12	0.08	-0.03	14	50%	0.10	5	-0.11	8	50%	-0.02
Jumaine Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	12	57%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Kevin Ollie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	11	45%	0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	0.01	-0.01	17	39%	0.01	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	11	41%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.12	-0.12	0.02	12	25%	-0.25	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Tyrone Hill	-0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.3,-0.3	-0.12	-0.18	0.00	6	50%	-0.04	5	-0.26	4	50%	-0.05

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	69%	0.08	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0	100%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	17	47%	-0.01	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	25	43%	-0.12	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	10	30%	-0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.3,-0.3,-0.37,-0.37,-0.44,-0.45	-0.45	-0.19	-0.26	0.00	16	31%	-0.32	4	-0.14	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.7	26.3	15.6	23.0	1.6	37.3	127.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +42.0%

MIL -8.0%

PHI +27.9%

MIL -14.7%

PHI +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIL	NBA	PHI	MIL	NBA
this game	16.6	15.4	15.2	91.1	87.8	101.7
season	15.0	14.9		99.5	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.5		105.1	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.7	17.2	16.0	16.3	16.6
MIL	14.6	12.8	16.0	18.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	56	58	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.44	10	-7	17	16.7	16.4	0.34	16.3	13.8	2.47
Eric Snow	77	79	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.41	10	-7	17	16.7	15.9	0.75	15.6	14.1	1.53
Billy Owens	56	54	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.44	6	-3	9	16.1	17.4	-1.26	16.2	14.2	1.97
Tyrone Hill	65	66	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.42	5	-2	7	17.0	15.5	1.50	16.4	12.8	3.60
Aaron McKie	47	49	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.30	5	-2	7	17.2	15.9	1.26	16.0	14.7	1.29
Nazr Mohammed	4	3	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	3	-3	14.2	16.7	-2.42	14.0	15.5	-1.48
Larry Hughes	44	42	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	7	-11	15.5	17.5	-2.00	14.5	16.2	-1.71
Jumaine Jones	3	4	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.03	-1	4	-5	19.7	16.5	3.21	7.2	15.8	-8.56
Todd MacCulloch	50	50	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.06	-2	5	-7	17.2	15.7	1.47	14.7	16.3	-1.65
Kevin Ollie	13	11	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.00	-7	10	-17	15.9	16.7	-0.75	14.1	15.6	-1.53
Bruce Bowen	35	34	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.01	-7	10	-17	15.9	17.0	-1.11	13.3	16.7	-3.49

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Traylor	23	22	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.01	4	-7	11	14.7	15.7	-0.99	18.7	15.9	2.80
Dale Ellis	33	33	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.06	5	-8	13	15.3	15.5	-0.16	15.0	17.5	-2.43
Danny Manning	22	24	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-6	9	13.5	16.0	-2.50	15.6	16.9	-1.34
Ervin Johnson	41	40	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-3	3	14.3	16.4	-2.10	17.6	15.7	1.86
Vinny Del Negro	20	20	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.02	1	-4	5	16.4	15.2	1.24	17.4	16.3	1.07
Ray Allen	77	76	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	0	-3	15.4	15.4	0.06	17.1	13.4	3.72
Glenn Robinson	61	62	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.48	-2	-1	-1	15.2	15.9	-0.73	16.4	17.0	-0.58
Sam Cassell	68	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.46	-3	0	-3	15.2	16.0	-0.81	16.2	17.7	-1.54
Tim Thomas	50	50	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.36	-7	4	-11	15.8	14.9	0.92	16.4	16.8	-0.42
J.R. Reid	55	55	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.29	-13	10	-23	17.2	12.7	4.50	16.1	17.4	-1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 91, NJN 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.61,0.75,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.75,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.29,0.33,0.1,0	91.8%
MIA 89, DET 78	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.54,0.38,0.23,0.1,0,0	91.8%
LAL 105, HOU 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.39,0.28,0.15,0.23,0	91.6%