NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	115		Excitement	8.0 [265]		MVP	Jimmy Butler (CHI): +64.0%
Toronto Raptors	113		Comeback	51.1 [10]		LVP	Doug McDermott (CHI): -9.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0.64	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.3,0.36,0.64	0.25	0.41	0.01	23	74%	0.70	3	-0.06	11	91%	0.02
E'Twaun Moore	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.09	-0.01	0.11	0.00	4	50%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	9	71%	0.11	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.05
Kirk Hinrich	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	4	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	5	75%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Tony Snell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	16	50%	0.06	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.02
Aaron Brooks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	6	42%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luis Scola	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.06	0.02	17	59%	0.16	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.11	-0.02	5	67%	0.17	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.04
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.03	0.03	0.13	-0.07	0.03	17	57%	0.03	0	0.00	8	87%	0.05
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	9	65%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	22	46%	0.09	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.04	-0.00	8	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.5	2.3	31.4	14.8	25.2	2.4	38.0	133.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +56.2%

TOR -7.9%

CHI +9.4%

TOR -6.0%

TOR -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	TOR	NBA	CHI	TOR	NBA
this game	13.6	17.0	14.9	121.1	121.5	105.1
season	14.8	16.1		103.7	107.2
opponent	14.8	14.9		104.6	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.1	14.2	13.3	13.0	13.6
TOR	18.6	15.2	17.4	17.0	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	66	65	0.90	-0.40	1.29	0.51	13	-11	24	13.1	14.8	-1.71	17.2	16.5	0.71
Jimmy Butler	75	74	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.40	11	-9	20	13.6	13.9	-0.39	17.5	15.2	2.29
E'Twaun Moore	33	33	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.53	6	-4	10	12.8	14.1	-1.31	16.2	17.5	-1.37
Tony Snell	40	38	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.29	1	1	0	12.8	14.3	-1.50	17.3	16.9	0.43
Aaron Brooks	47	46	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.20	2	0	2	14.1	13.2	0.96	17.9	16.2	1.66
Nikola Mirotic	53	54	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	2	-2	14.2	12.9	1.32	17.3	16.7	0.54
Taj Gibson	60	59	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.26	-10	12	-22	13.8	13.3	0.47	16.2	18.4	-2.17
Kirk Hinrich	42	40	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.05	-3	5	-8	14.0	13.4	0.56	16.6	17.3	-0.71
Bobby Portis	37	34	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.09	-3	5	-8	13.9	13.5	0.36	17.5	16.7	0.78
Doug McDermott	22	22	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.06	-7	9	-16	14.5	13.4	1.06	15.5	17.5	-2.01

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Ross	39	40	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.13	14	-16	30	17.1	17.0	0.17	14.0	13.4	0.62
Luis Scola	52	54	0.19	-0.69	0.89	0.28	-3	1	-4	17.9	16.0	1.89	14.2	12.9	1.30
Patrick Patterson	50	50	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.02	6	-8	14	17.4	16.6	0.88	13.7	13.6	0.16
Jonas Valanciunas	47	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.17	2	-4	6	16.4	17.7	-1.31	13.5	13.8	-0.23
Bismack Biyombo	30	32	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	0	-2	16.8	17.1	-0.29	13.7	13.6	0.16
Cory Joseph	52	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.28	-4	2	-6	17.6	16.3	1.32	13.9	13.3	0.59
Kyle Lowry	78	78	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.47	-6	4	-10	16.8	18.4	-1.63	13.6	14.0	-0.44
DeMarre Carroll	48	50	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.67	-2	0	-2	15.9	18.2	-2.26	13.3	14.1	-0.81
DeMar DeRozan	69	70	-0.91	0.41	-1.33	-0.47	-15	13	-28	17.2	16.5	0.66	13.1	15.0	-1.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.74,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.8,0.82,0.66,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.91,0.8,0.89,0.78,0.71,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 84, DAL 79	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.78,0.6,0.7,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.83,0.58,0	91.3%
OKC 103, LAL 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.73,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.89,0.82,0.87,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.67,0.42,0	91.2%
LAL 112, DEN 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.89,0.67,0.67,0.84,0.94,0.95,0	91.2%