NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	84		Excitement	7.4 [307]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +26.3%
Dallas Mavericks	79		Comeback	16.4 [135]		LVP	Shawn Bradley (DAL): -30.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.26	0.05	0.22	0.00	16	62%	0.34	2	-0.08	7	71%	-0.03
Fred Hoiberg	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.17,0.17	-0.01	0.17	0.00	4	37%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	62%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rik Smits	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07	-0.05	0.00	0.02	11	57%	0.07	4	-0.13	6	100%	0.08
Derrick McKey	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04
Mark Jackson	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	11	50%	-0.06	4	-0.08	4	25%	-0.06
Antonio Davis	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	5	31%	-0.10	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.05

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	5	100%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.13	0.13	-0.03	19	34%	0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.06	-0.02	15	47%	0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	13	54%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Riley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	9	28%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	3	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	16	39%	-0.28	2	-0.02	12	58%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.4	21.5	16.4	26.4	1.8	36.2	125.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +47.8%

IND +12.5%

DAL -17.9%

IND +7.2%

IND +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DAL	NBA	IND	DAL	NBA
this game	13.8	16.7	15.6	87.5	84.9	102.5
season	16.0	15.8		105.3	98.3
opponent	15.5	16.1		104.6	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.6	14.5	14.7	13.5	13.8
DAL	15.7	15.5	18.1	17.8	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	76	74	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.35	20	-15	35	13.3	15.8	-2.52	17.2	14.9	2.23
Rik Smits	54	54	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.44	14	-9	23	14.0	13.6	0.41	16.9	16.4	0.53
Mark Jackson	69	67	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.32	15	-10	25	13.6	14.4	-0.84	17.1	15.7	1.37
Dale Davis	52	50	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.36	12	-7	19	13.5	14.2	-0.66	16.6	16.8	-0.22
Fred Hoiberg	36	35	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.51	-2	7	-9	13.9	13.7	0.14	16.1	17.1	-0.97
Chris Mullin	50	48	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.06	-2	7	-9	14.0	13.6	0.37	15.8	17.7	-1.92
Derrick McKey	38	37	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.06	-4	9	-13	13.0	14.3	-1.33	17.1	16.5	0.55
Travis Best	27	26	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.04	-10	15	-25	14.4	13.6	0.84	15.7	17.1	-1.37
Jalen Rose	27	27	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	-0.02	-10	15	-25	14.8	13.4	1.36	16.6	16.8	-0.18
Antonio Davis	51	47	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	-0.09	-8	13	-21	14.5	13.0	1.59	17.1	16.4	0.69

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
A.C. Green	50	54	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-5	5	17.1	16.2	0.91	14.1	13.5	0.58
Dennis Scott	68	70	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	1	-7	16.5	17.2	-0.71	13.4	14.9	-1.48
Hubert Davis	22	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-3	1	14.6	17.4	-2.73	12.4	14.3	-1.90
Michael Finley	85	87	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.39	5	-10	15	16.4	20.1	-3.72	13.8	14.0	-0.22
Shawn Bradley	75	80	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.37	4	-9	13	17.3	14.4	2.82	14.4	10.7	3.66
Eric Riley	9	8	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.06	-12	7	-19	17.9	16.6	1.29	10.4	14.1	-3.74
Erick Strickland	36	34	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	1	-7	16.7	16.7	0.05	14.1	13.7	0.40
Khalid Reeves	46	46	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-3	1	15.9	17.6	-1.68	14.4	13.3	1.09
Samaki Walker	74	77	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.37	-6	1	-7	17.4	14.0	3.42	13.7	14.1	-0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.78,0.6,0.7,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.83,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 103, LAL 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.73,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.89,0.82,0.87,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.67,0.42,0	92.0%
CHI 115, TOR 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.74,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.8,0.82,0.66,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.91,0.8,0.89,0.78,0.71,0	91.3%
NYK 90, TOR 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.58,0	91.3%