NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	87		Excitement	11.1 [29]		MVP	Rodney Hood (UTA): +53.0%
Utah Jazz	92		Comeback	3.2 [338]		LVP	Jeff Green (MEM): -36.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0.30	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.3	0.10	0.21	0.02	9	71%	0.32	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Tony Allen	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.01	9	62%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Mario Chalmers	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	10	33%	-0.09	1	-0.03	4	0%	-0.08
Marc Gasol	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.05,-0.17,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22	-0.07	-0.16	-0.01	20	44%	-0.07	4	-0.15	5	80%	0.02
Mike Conley	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.29	-0.05	-0.24	-0.01	16	39%	-0.19	1	-0.10	6	50%	-0.03
Jeff Green	-0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.36,-0.36	-0.11	-0.24	0.01	10	27%	-0.19	2	-0.17	2	0%	-0.07

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.53	0.53	0.16	0.39	0.02	20	67%	0.61	2	-0.08	8	87%	0.03
Trey Lyles	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	117%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.04	0.00	9	55%	0.11	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.04
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	6	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tibor Pleiss	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	0.00	4	75%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.02	-0.11	0.02	10	58%	0.01	2	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01
Raul Neto	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	7	14%	-0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.04	-0.26	0.01	1	50%	-0.02	2	-0.28	6	67%	-0.11
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35	-0.35	-0.10	-0.26	-0.01	13	30%	-0.20	2	-0.15	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.2	2.7	33.5	15.6	25.5	0.8	36.0	2.6	18.2	158.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +42.2%

UTA +13.2%

UTA +18.9%

MEM -21.2%

MEM -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	UTA	NBA	MEM	UTA	NBA
this game	16.8	16.7	14.9	91.6	96.8	105.1
season	15.7	16.3		103.4	104.6
opponent	15.0	14.8		102.8	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MEM	17.5	15.3	16.7	18.1	16.1	16.8
UTA	17.6	16.0	18.5	15.4	15.5	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	66	64	0.45	-0.95	1.41	0.04	14	-19	33	17.0	16.4	0.51	16.9	16.2	0.71
JaMychal Green	12	11	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	-2	-1	16.4	16.9	-0.44	15.7	16.8	-1.07
Mike Conley	74	73	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.34	8	-13	21	16.8	16.9	-0.07	16.6	16.8	-0.13
Marc Gasol	82	82	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.38	8	-13	21	16.4	19.2	-2.82	16.7	16.2	0.51
Vince Carter	17	15	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.04	-8	3	-11	16.9	16.8	0.17	16.1	16.8	-0.72
Jeff Green	78	78	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.30	3	-8	11	16.7	17.2	-0.46	17.3	13.9	3.40
Ryan Hollins	10	11	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	5	-15	19.5	16.5	3.02	14.5	17.0	-2.41
Mario Chalmers	21	22	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	8	-21	16.9	16.8	0.07	16.8	16.6	0.13
Courtney Lee	72	73	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.26	-15	10	-25	17.1	15.8	1.29	17.1	15.3	1.76
Zach Randolph	43	46	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.59	-9	4	-13	16.3	17.2	-0.82	15.5	17.8	-2.32

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Ingles	28	31	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.20	16	-11	27	14.6	17.6	-2.98	16.2	17.1	-0.95
Rodney Hood	79	79	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.32	7	-2	9	16.5	17.3	-0.77	17.2	15.1	2.09
Chris Johnson	17	16	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.47	1	4	-3	14.6	17.1	-2.54	13.1	17.5	-4.42
Tibor Pleiss	31	29	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.12	11	-6	17	18.4	15.8	2.54	17.6	16.4	1.18
Trevor Booker	65	62	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.30	1	4	-3	16.6	16.9	-0.38	16.3	17.8	-1.51
Gordon Hayward	75	75	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.33	-2	7	-9	17.0	15.6	1.36	17.0	16.0	1.01
Trey Burke	60	56	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.13	8	-3	11	16.7	16.6	0.07	16.8	16.8	-0.03
Raul Neto	31	35	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.09	-6	11	-17	18.0	16.0	1.97	17.2	16.6	0.63
Jeff Withey	57	58	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.01	-4	9	-13	16.4	17.1	-0.76	17.1	16.3	0.87
Trey Lyles	32	34	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.06	-7	12	-19	17.1	16.5	0.59	17.1	16.6	0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.82,0.86,0.71,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 114, UTA 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.9,0.71,0.91,0.42,0.46,0.62,0.78,0.69,0.58,1	89.1%
POR 87, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.47,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.69,1	88.5%
TOR 107, DET 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.74,0.64,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.21,0.3,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.66,0.81,0.89,0.84,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.11,0.58,1	88.4%