NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	114		Excitement	11.4 [23]		MVP	Rodney Hood (UTA): +55.1%
Utah Jazz	117		Comeback	2.9 [562]		LVP	Corey Brewer (HOU): -12.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.28	0.12	0.19	0.02	30	60%	0.40	5	-0.12	10	80%	0.04
Trevor Ariza	0.22	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.22	0.12	0.12	0.02	10	75%	0.32	1	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Patrick Beverley	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.17,0.17	0.02	0.15	0.00	9	58%	0.22	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.05
Jason Terry	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.15	-0.01	0.16	-0.00	9	38%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Ty Lawson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	5	40%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	7	57%	0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
KJ McDaniels	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Clint Capela	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	7	46%	-0.00	2	-0.09	14	50%	-0.08
Corey Brewer	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	5	17%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Hood	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.34,0.34,0.55	0.55	0.10	0.46	0.00	10	75%	0.59	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.08	0.14	0.00	11	68%	0.25	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.23	0.01	0.02	7	97%	0.25	2	-0.05	15	87%	0.03
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	13	61%	0.14	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.02
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.04	0.00	11	57%	0.12	6	-0.14	8	75%	0.01
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	7	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	3	20%	-0.07	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.8	2.0	37.7	15.5	23.9	1.8	43.4	2.5	15.4	170.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +35.7%

HOU -16.1%

UTA +28.2%

HOU -4.4%

UTA +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	13.8	16.1	14.9	105.6	111.4	105.1
season	14.0	16.3		105.9	104.6
opponent	15.0	15.1		102.8	106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	13.4	10.9	14.7	14.0	22.1	13.8
UTA	13.7	14.8	16.6	17.3	29.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Brewer	50	49	0.25	-0.75	0.99	-0.11	12	-15	27	11.1	16.0	-4.90	15.7	16.5	-0.80
Josh Smith	40	40	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.05	3	-6	9	14.5	13.3	1.27	15.5	16.5	-0.96
Clint Capela	25	26	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	0	-3	15.3	13.3	1.99	14.3	16.7	-2.39
Ty Lawson	34	34	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.20	1	-4	5	12.9	14.1	-1.18	15.3	16.5	-1.26
James Harden	88	85	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-4	5	13.9	13.0	0.92	16.4	15.2	1.10
Terrence Jones	25	24	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	1	-5	13.5	13.8	-0.35	14.5	16.6	-2.08
Patrick Beverley	74	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	1	-5	14.1	12.9	1.18	16.5	15.3	1.26
Dwight Howard	83	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.37	0	-3	3	13.3	15.3	-1.99	16.7	14.3	2.39
Trevor Ariza	81	78	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.36	-12	9	-21	14.2	12.4	1.79	16.4	15.5	0.89
Jason Terry	40	39	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.45	-9	6	-15	15.1	12.9	2.18	17.4	15.4	1.93

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Hood	70	73	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.24	15	-12	27	16.3	15.8	0.51	14.7	11.8	2.88
Shelvin Mack	61	64	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.43	8	-5	13	16.4	15.8	0.64	14.3	12.9	1.46
Trey Burke	52	55	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.61	-4	7	-11	17.9	14.5	3.41	14.1	13.4	0.69
Derrick Favors	75	77	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.39	1	2	-1	16.9	14.3	2.58	14.4	12.2	2.18
Trevor Booker	27	28	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.03	8	-5	13	14.7	16.6	-1.94	11.2	14.6	-3.38
Rudy Gobert	57	58	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	-2	7	14.6	18.0	-3.46	13.4	14.2	-0.76
Raul Neto	18	18	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	0	3	14.2	16.5	-2.32	11.7	14.2	-2.43
Chris Johnson	37	37	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.17	-8	11	-19	15.9	16.2	-0.30	13.9	13.7	0.17
Joe Ingles	16	15	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.11	0	3	-3	16.4	16.1	0.27	11.1	14.2	-3.04
Trey Lyles	33	34	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.04	-10	13	-23	16.0	16.2	-0.25	13.5	13.9	-0.36
Gordon Hayward	74	74	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.12	-6	9	-15	15.3	18.2	-2.96	12.9	15.6	-2.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.9,0.71,0.91,0.42,0.46,0.62,0.78,0.69,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 105, IND 109	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.78,0.53,0.64,0.45,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.79,0.77,0.74,1	89.3%
MEM 87, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.82,0.86,0.71,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.42,1	89.1%
IND 100, ORL 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.59,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.77,0.91,0.46,0.69,0.89,0.85,0.84,1	88.9%