inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 105 Excitement11.3 [24] MVPPaul George (IND): +13.7%
Indiana Pacers 109 Comeback2.2 [780] LVPMonta Ellis (IND): -29.2%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Randy Foye-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jusuf Nurkic-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.00644%-0.031-0.02475%-0.02
Jameer Nelson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.0020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Gary Harris-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.09-0.15-0.001172%0.062-0.12367%-0.00
Darrell Arthur-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.02-0.050.00643%-0.021-0.062100%0.02
Danilo Gallinari-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.11,-0.080.06-0.130.001757%0.132-0.216100%0.03
Nikola Jokic-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.01-0.070.011552%0.043-0.141100%0.01
Will Barton-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.05-0.01743%0.023-0.1200%0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay-0.160,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.16,-0.16-0.08-0.08-0.001044%0.044-0.19560%-0.02
Kenneth Faried-0.170,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.08,0.01,-0.1,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.170.03-0.200.001067%0.003-0.174100%0.02

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul George0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.140.140.010.140.011559%0.264-0.122100%0.01
Jordan Hill0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.040.021371%0.233-0.132100%0.03
Lavoy Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.04-0.00450%0.0500.0000%0.00
Joe Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.00658%0.0400.0000%0.00
Glenn Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Solomon Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.01440%0.011-0.052100%0.02
CJ Miles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01425%-0.022-0.0600%0.00
Myles Turner0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.021130%-0.071-0.02540%-0.10
George Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.01-0.080.021041%-0.1000.002100%0.03
Monta Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0,0.07,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.06,0,-0.11,-0.13,-0.44,-0.5,-0.5,-0.53,-0.46,-0.29-0.290.04-0.320.012854%0.084-0.37367%-0.07
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.11.528.415.425.61.729.32.517.8145.2
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.52.217.3136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +31.6%
DEN -2.3%
DEN -1.4%
IND +27.8%
DEN -5.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENINDNBADENINDNBA
this game13.716.014.997.2102.8105.1
season14.914.6104.3103.2
opponent14.914.9101.6107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DEN14.111.814.314.813.813.7
IND14.216.517.715.816.416.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikola Jokic73710.17-0.670.84-0.1511-152614.112.91.2715.916.3-0.47
Kenneth Faried7269-0.08-0.420.34-0.266-101614.412.32.0715.816.4-0.62
Danilo Gallinari8482-0.16-0.340.18-0.222-6814.112.51.5615.517.9-2.39
Gary Harris7371-0.19-0.310.11-0.252-6814.312.61.6915.816.4-0.60
Emmanuel Mudiay7473-0.23-0.270.03-0.261-5614.312.41.9015.716.7-0.97
Jameer Nelson3433-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.12-51-612.414.3-1.9016.715.70.97
Will Barton3535-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.13-62-812.614.3-1.6916.415.80.60
Randy Foye2625-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.14-62-812.514.1-1.6517.415.61.80
Darrell Arthur3536-0.540.04-0.58-0.16-139-2212.614.3-1.6916.715.71.05
Jusuf Nurkic3435-0.580.08-0.65-0.22-128-2012.614.2-1.5616.315.90.47

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Monta Ellis83840.54-0.040.580.376-2815.617.7-2.0714.112.31.83
George Hill88910.51-0.010.510.3940415.817.2-1.4414.111.62.52
Jordan Hill78790.470.030.450.306-2815.218.2-3.0213.913.20.74
Paul George78810.470.030.440.4122015.617.1-1.4714.212.31.84
Myles Turner80830.230.27-0.030.29-26-816.016.2-0.1714.012.71.34
Lavoy Allen32310.220.28-0.060.056-2817.115.61.5313.413.9-0.50
Solomon Hill22230.070.43-0.360.13-26-817.515.71.8012.414.1-1.68
CJ Miles28270.030.47-0.44-0.0322017.115.61.4712.314.2-1.84
Joe Young2625-0.020.52-0.54-0.0204-417.515.52.0012.314.1-1.86
Glenn Robinson1516-0.030.53-0.550.03-26-817.315.81.5211.614.1-2.52


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.78,0.53,0.64,0.45,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.79,0.77,0.74,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 114, UTA 1170.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.9,0.71,0.91,0.42,0.46,0.62,0.78,0.69,0.58,189.3%
POR 97, CHA 1020.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.5,0.34,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.46,0.46,0.63,0.67,0.58,189.1%
NOH 94, SAS 990.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.45,0.57,0.59,0.46,0.53,0.64,0.85,0.92,188.8%