NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	97		Excitement	11.0 [37]		MVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): +23.4%
Charlotte Bobcats	102		Comeback	1.9 [632]		LVP	Brandon Roy (POR): -21.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Fernandez	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.22,0.22,0.19	0.06	0.13	0.00	11	60%	0.21	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Sergio Rodriguez	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.05	0.12	-0.00	7	59%	0.18	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	9	67%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.06	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.06	0.01	15	60%	0.12	4	-0.17	5	60%	-0.04
Greg Oden	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	7	42%	-0.02	1	-0.05	5	40%	-0.04
Travis Outlaw	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.12	-0.02	15	31%	-0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Brandon Roy	-0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.11,-0.22	-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	18	37%	-0.19	1	-0.02	10	30%	-0.18

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.14	0.09	-0.00	19	61%	0.30	2	-0.07	13	77%	0.03
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.13	0.02	14	63%	0.25	1	-0.04	7	57%	-0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11	0.11	-0.05	0.16	-0.00	15	46%	0.19	3	-0.08	5	80%	-0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	5	80%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sean Singletary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	9	45%	0.04	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.03	0.00	9	28%	0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.5	2.0	29.7	15.0	23.1	2.5	38.4	1.5	15.0	154.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	2.0	41.4	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +28.0%

CHA +30.7%

CHA +3.6%

POR -2.2%

POR -10.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CHA	NBA	POR	CHA	NBA
this game	16.7	16.4	15.5	101.0	106.2	106.4
season	16.7	16.5		111.0	103.0
opponent	15.6	16.0		104.5	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	18.4	15.9	14.9	17.1	17.8	16.7
CHA	14.3	16.8	18.5	15.6	17.5	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	30	31	0.31	-0.81	1.12	0.10	7	-12	19	15.3	17.4	-2.06	18.9	15.2	3.64
Joel Przybilla	56	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.06	-3	-2	-1	17.4	15.7	1.66	15.6	17.3	-1.72
Greg Oden	29	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-3	1	16.4	16.9	-0.49	18.6	15.3	3.23
LaMarcus Aldridge	74	77	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-6	7	16.3	18.0	-1.72	16.7	15.3	1.36
Sergio Rodriguez	37	35	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.13	-4	-1	-3	17.9	16.0	1.91	18.4	15.3	3.09
Jerryd Bayless	61	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-2	-1	15.5	18.8	-3.23	15.0	18.9	-3.88
Brandon Roy	82	82	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.36	1	-6	7	16.4	18.6	-2.17	16.6	15.1	1.48
Travis Outlaw	49	48	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.19	-13	8	-21	18.2	15.1	3.08	15.2	17.6	-2.48
Rudy Fernandez	62	63	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.54	-9	4	-13	17.1	16.0	1.07	15.3	18.4	-3.08

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emeka Okafor	79	79	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.33	8	-3	11	16.2	17.5	-1.29	16.7	16.6	0.16
Gerald Wallace	84	84	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.39	4	1	3	16.1	18.7	-2.68	16.5	18.2	-1.75
Raymond Felton	82	81	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.33	5	0	5	16.2	17.4	-1.11	16.2	19.5	-3.34
Raja Bell	73	73	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	3	-1	16.4	16.3	0.13	16.0	18.9	-2.89
Boris Diaw	71	73	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.23	5	0	5	16.8	15.4	1.41	16.3	18.0	-1.74
Juwan Howard	24	22	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	-3	11	15.6	16.7	-1.10	19.2	16.0	3.25
Shannon Brown	27	27	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	-1	7	15.3	16.8	-1.54	19.0	15.8	3.17
Sean Singletary	17	17	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	5	-5	16.8	16.3	0.51	18.7	16.3	2.41
Adam Morrison	12	12	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.03	-6	11	-17	19.2	16.0	3.25	15.5	16.9	-1.39
Nazr Mohammed	11	12	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.01	-7	12	-19	20.0	15.9	4.06	17.0	16.7	0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.5,0.34,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.46,0.46,0.63,0.67,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 104, TOR 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.46,0.45,0.71,0.9,0.99,1	89.1%
POR 87, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.47,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.69,1	89.1%
DEN 105, IND 109	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.78,0.53,0.64,0.45,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.79,0.77,0.74,1	89.1%