inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 107 Excitement11.7 [36] MVPReggie Jackson (DET): +33.4%
Detroit Pistons 112 Comeback10.4 [134] LVPBlake Griffin (DET): -21.4%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
OG Anunoby0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.120.060.070.001059%0.1200.002100%0.01
Kyle Lowry0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.3,0.13,0.2,0.26,0.33,0.22,0.10.14-0.020.012461%0.263-0.15978%0.06
Patrick McCaw0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.000.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Marc Gasol-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.001046%0.021-0.038100%0.11
Serge Ibaka-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.00736%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Norman Powell-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01958%0.095-0.131100%0.00
Pascal Siakam-0.060,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.030.012050%0.043-0.0920%-0.09
Danny Green-0.150,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15-0.02-0.13-0.00650%-0.102-0.0600%0.00
Jeremy Lin-0.180,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.15-0.08-0.0586%-0.111-0.07250%-0.01

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.38,0.330.330.050.29-0.001466%0.473-0.1410%-0.02
Luke Kennard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.190.190.140.050.001086%0.262-0.072100%0.02
Andre Drummond0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.120.12-0.020.13-0.011054%0.253-0.13862%0.02
Wayne Ellington0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.04-0.00665%0.111-0.04560%-0.03
Glenn Robinson III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.040.00367%0.0600.0000%0.00
Thon Maker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.03-0.01643%0.0400.002100%0.01
Ish Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.020.00669%0.101-0.081100%0.01
Bruce Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01-0.00250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Langston Galloway0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.0140%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.0140%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Blake Griffin0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.25,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.02-0.180.012152%-0.035-0.191070%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.92.326.114.634.42.734.52.518.5159.4
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.93.315.6132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +89.6%
TOR -6.9%
TOR -6.2%
TOR -33.0%
DET +6.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORDETNBATORDETNBA
this game14.116.414.3100.9108.7109.3
season14.315.3111.5107.5
opponent14.014.5109.0105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
TOR16.213.812.214.413.914.1
DET14.516.218.016.916.316.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Norman Powell4038-0.09-0.410.31-0.121-6714.214.00.1816.616.20.40
Kyle Lowry8482-0.20-0.300.09-0.262-7913.516.1-2.5916.914.32.63
Marc Gasol7575-0.22-0.280.06-0.16-2-3114.014.4-0.4316.416.20.18
Patrick McCaw2524-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.11-50-514.613.90.6715.716.6-0.87
Pascal Siakam8684-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.301-6713.914.8-0.9417.312.54.79
Serge Ibaka4038-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.20-3-2-115.313.41.9115.516.9-1.39
Jeremy Lin5049-0.36-0.14-0.230.02-138-2115.113.21.9615.017.7-2.71
Danny Green6259-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.25-4-1-313.015.6-2.6516.116.7-0.61
OG Anunoby6866-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.38-2-3114.413.50.8716.416.30.13

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andre Drummond55601.05-0.551.600.2926-214715.417.5-2.1014.913.01.84
Luke Kennard68710.68-0.180.860.429-41315.917.3-1.3314.613.01.58
Wayne Ellington68710.350.150.200.3505-516.715.71.0913.515.3-1.88
Glenn Robinson III10110.260.240.020.057-2912.916.8-3.8516.313.82.44
Reggie Jackson63630.240.26-0.020.2114-317.115.31.8014.014.3-0.33
Ish Smith39410.200.30-0.100.1132115.716.8-1.1514.813.61.21
Blake Griffin81830.200.30-0.110.34-510-1517.014.12.8513.715.4-1.67
Langston Galloway35350.150.35-0.200.0050515.716.7-1.0915.313.51.88
Bruce Brown3637-0.170.67-0.83-0.08-38-1116.816.20.6112.514.9-2.46
Thon Maker3941-0.200.70-0.890.04-813-2117.315.81.4512.914.9-2.01
Zaza Pachulia2219-0.250.75-1.000.01-914-2315.816.5-0.7113.414.2-0.87


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.74,0.64,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.21,0.3,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.66,0.81,0.89,0.84,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.11,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 87, UTA 920.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.82,0.86,0.71,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.42,188.4%
HOU 106, LAL 1140.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.7,0.6,0.75,0.84,0.94,0.92,0.46,0.55,0.28,0.29,0.73,187.8%
OKC 107, HOU 1110.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.72,0.81,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.73,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.69,0.79,0.91,0.74,186.2%