inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 107 Excitement8.6 [171] MVPSerge Ibaka (OKC): +26.5%
Houston Rockets 111 Comeback4.1 [400] LVPDerek Fisher (OKC): -10.8%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Serge Ibaka0.270,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.260.180.090.001771%0.2700.00475%0.01
Jeremy Lamb0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.070.04-0.00875%0.151-0.0300%0.00
Caron Butler0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.030.001059%0.1000.002100%0.03
Nick Collison-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02550%0.022-0.0300%0.00
Reggie Jackson-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.03-0.030.011457%0.072-0.092100%0.02
Hasheem Thabeet-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Steven Adams-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01333%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Kevin Durant-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.02,-0.03-0.01-0.04-0.011956%0.206-0.231292%0.04
Andre Roberson-0.070,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.0130%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Derek Fisher-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.04-0.070.00625%-0.1100.0000%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Francisco Garcia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.050.090.00475%0.1400.0000%0.00
James Harden0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.130.130.100.03-0.002261%0.255-0.132085%0.01
Omer Asik0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.120.120.030.100.01564%0.141-0.02475%0.03
Chandler Parsons0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.090.090.060.040.011751%0.111-0.021191%0.06
Terrence Jones0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.06-0.00-0.011262%0.121-0.062100%0.01
Donatas Motiejunas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Isaiah Canaan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.02-0.00560%0.062-0.0400%0.00
Jeremy Lin0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.03-0.011136%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.93.431.017.729.72.840.4151.8
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC -4.6%
HOU +23.8%
HOU +21.6%
HOU +6.8%
HOU +2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCHOUNBAOKCHOUNBA
this game15.314.115.1109.2113.3105.2
season14.414.3107.8109.5
opponent15.215.4105.4102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC15.315.415.514.815.3
HOU14.112.815.214.614.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andre Roberson26260.14-0.640.780.024-81215.515.20.2816.513.33.17
Steven Adams24240.14-0.640.78-0.015-91415.115.3-0.1716.813.33.58
Jeremy Lamb44440.11-0.610.72-0.014-81215.515.00.5313.714.5-0.86
Hasheem Thabeet33-0.12-0.380.260.06-62-821.015.15.9310.014.3-4.26
Serge Ibaka7573-0.15-0.350.20-0.336-101615.215.3-0.0614.214.00.12
Nick Collison3031-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.06-73-1015.515.20.3013.714.3-0.57
Kevin Durant9089-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.30-1-3215.117.0-1.9013.916.3-2.42
Caron Butler7474-0.640.14-0.78-0.37-95-1415.315.10.1713.316.8-3.58
Derek Fisher5052-0.690.19-0.88-0.43-95-1414.915.6-0.6814.014.3-0.32
Reggie Jackson7474-0.700.20-0.90-0.49-73-1015.115.7-0.5514.313.70.56

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Francisco Garcia59590.85-0.351.200.647-31013.814.6-0.8014.716.1-1.37
Jeremy Lin77760.51-0.010.530.4331214.612.52.0515.315.10.15
James Harden88880.51-0.010.530.375-1614.114.5-0.4115.314.70.62
Omer Asik68660.490.010.480.345-1614.613.21.3915.015.7-0.73
Chandler Parsons84850.210.29-0.080.27-26-813.915.8-1.9315.215.7-0.50
Donatas Motiejunas11110.030.47-0.44-0.0013-212.514.3-1.8917.015.01.97
Isaiah Canaan3738-0.040.54-0.57-0.0922013.414.6-1.2615.415.20.19
Terrence Jones6667-0.070.57-0.64-0.04-15-614.613.21.4015.614.51.03


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.72,0.81,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.73,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.69,0.79,0.91,0.74,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 100, ORL 1070.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.71,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.81,0.96,0.85,0.99,191.1%
GSW 89, DEN 970.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.26,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.62,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.54,0.81,0.78,0.91,0.96,191.1%
PHI 98, WAS 1050.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.59,0.67,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.92,190.8%