inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 89 Excitement7.8 [263] MVPTroy Murphy (GSW): +10.1%
Denver Nuggets 97 Comeback3.4 [427] LVPJason Richardson (GSW): -26.1%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Troy Murphy0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.040.00675%0.1000.004100%0.02
Antawn Jamison-0.000,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,00.02-0.04-0.011855%0.092-0.09250%-0.01
Danny Fortson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.020.01573%0.062-0.08560%-0.01
Erick Dampier-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04-0.060.01-0.01250%0.033-0.0700%0.00
Adonal Foyle-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01633%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Chris Mills-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.040.00747%-0.011-0.051100%0.01
Larry Hughes-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.11-0.02-0.001227%-0.071-0.05250%-0.01
Gilbert Arenas-0.260,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26-0.17-0.13-0.041340%-0.165-0.10944%-0.06
Jason Richardson-0.260,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.28,-0.26,-0.26-0.16-0.12-0.02955%0.099-0.352100%0.02

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Donnell Harvey0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.070.07-0.010.08-0.001254%0.142-0.062100%0.01
Ryan Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.00564%0.0300.001100%0.00
Calbert Cheaney0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.01367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.030.00558%0.061-0.04250%0.00
Juwan Howard0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.01367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Zendon Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.011058%0.103-0.11450%-0.04
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Kenny Satterfield0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.01486%0.084-0.116100%0.02
Mengke Bateer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.03-0.00240%-0.011-0.0510%-0.01
Voshon Lenard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.001540%-0.002-0.0600%0.00
George McCloud0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.01633%-0.023-0.0700%0.00
James Posey0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.04-0.11-0.011255%-0.043-0.10743%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.61.824.015.528.42.038.0137.3
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +27.1%
GSW -5.8%
DEN +6.4%
DEN +22.5%
GSW -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWDENNBAGSWDENNBA
this game14.415.415.692.7100.0102.3
season14.716.1100.799.7
opponent15.215.1105.9106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW12.117.614.114.314.4
DEN15.013.717.215.715.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Danny Fortson51530.10-0.600.70-0.024-121615.013.91.0916.613.92.71
Adonal Foyle43410.07-0.570.630.12-2-6414.714.20.4916.414.61.81
Larry Hughes3738-0.13-0.370.23-0.02-4-4014.914.20.7713.916.4-2.50
Troy Murphy3533-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.19-5-3-214.514.40.0614.615.8-1.24
Jason Richardson7981-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.360-8813.618.6-5.0315.913.12.79
Erick Dampier4344-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.24-5-3-213.315.4-2.0814.516.2-1.67
Chris Mills4344-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.14-91-1015.613.52.0113.716.8-3.13
Gilbert Arenas7675-0.500.00-0.51-0.15-124-1615.111.83.3415.714.51.21
Antawn Jamison7376-0.550.05-0.59-0.34-7-1-613.916.1-2.1615.813.82.08

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Voshon Lenard58580.69-0.190.880.2515-72214.716.4-1.7515.712.53.27
Carlos Arroyo27260.68-0.180.860.3611-31416.115.11.0515.913.92.02
Zendon Hamilton48460.390.110.270.2162415.615.20.3414.314.6-0.28
James Posey73710.350.150.200.38-19-1015.913.72.2413.317.6-4.26
Ryan Bowen46460.250.25-0.000.0471614.815.9-1.1213.615.2-1.57
Donnell Harvey67670.250.25-0.010.30-210-1216.313.42.9314.015.4-1.43
Calbert Cheaney12120.140.36-0.23-0.0462412.415.8-3.4018.613.94.73
Juwan Howard12120.120.38-0.27-0.0971616.015.30.6912.214.8-2.51
Chris Andersen13140.070.43-0.360.0126-412.715.8-3.1218.013.84.16
Mengke Bateer3635-0.020.52-0.540.04-210-1214.815.7-0.8914.814.20.55
George McCloud3233-0.060.56-0.61-0.0608-816.115.01.0915.513.91.67
Kenny Satterfield3837-0.100.60-0.71-0.07-19-1014.216.1-1.9012.415.7-3.28


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.26,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.62,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.54,0.81,0.78,0.91,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 83, UTA 960.5,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.61,0.68,0.79,1,1,191.9%
BOS 105, CHH 1120.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.53,0.36,0.4,0.66,0.62,0.85,0.85,0.98,191.6%
PHX 92, POR 1060.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.65,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.26,0.34,0.48,0.38,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.53,0.81,0.89,0.99,1,191.6%