NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	92		Excitement	7.7 [298]		MVP	Jason Richardson (PHX): +23.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	106		Comeback	3.3 [614]		LVP	Hedo Turkoglu (PHX): -12.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.23	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.15	0.05	-0.03	13	79%	0.23	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hakim Warrick	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.06	-0.01	6	59%	0.12	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.02	5	55%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Josh Childress	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Channing Frye	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	0.04	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	4	44%	0.02	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.02
Steve Nash	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	19	60%	0.28	9	-0.36	5	80%	0.02
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	7	43%	-0.05	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.07	-0.01	12	48%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Armon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	20	57%	0.12	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.05	0.07	17	56%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	54%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.04	0.00	8	56%	0.07	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.05	0.01	11	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	9	36%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.4	32.5	16.5	26.0	1.8	30.2	136.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -4.9%

PHX -16.5%

POR +39.4%

POR +24.5%

POR +7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	POR	NBA	PHX	POR	NBA
this game	14.8	17.0	15.5	101.1	117.8	105.7
season	14.5	16.5		108.0	106.7
opponent	15.7	15.7		105.6	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.7	14.1	13.3	16.7	14.8
POR	17.0	16.0	16.7	18.4	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	36	36	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.08	-2	-12	10	15.0	14.8	0.21	15.3	18.1	-2.81
Robin Lopez	47	44	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-14	14	15.0	14.7	0.27	18.3	15.8	2.51
Hakim Warrick	39	38	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	-12	10	13.9	15.6	-1.71	14.4	18.9	-4.54
Grant Hill	49	46	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.11	-8	-6	-2	14.7	15.1	-0.42	18.1	15.8	2.29
Goran Dragic	24	23	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	-7	0	16.6	14.2	2.36	15.7	17.4	-1.74
Jason Richardson	67	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	-7	0	13.9	17.4	-3.49	17.4	15.7	1.69
Steve Nash	67	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.17	-7	-7	0	14.2	16.6	-2.36	17.4	15.7	1.74
Hedo Turkoglu	47	49	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.20	-7	-7	0	15.6	14.0	1.55	19.3	14.2	5.09
Channing Frye	48	49	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.00	-19	5	-24	15.0	14.7	0.28	15.6	18.7	-3.16
Josh Childress	31	32	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.25	-11	-3	-8	16.7	13.9	2.78	16.3	17.3	-1.00

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Matthews	60	61	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.09	22	-8	30	15.2	20.6	-5.42	14.7	15.1	-0.38
Andre Miller	49	47	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.22	14	0	14	18.6	15.0	3.56	14.8	14.9	-0.03
Brandon Roy	73	75	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.00	14	0	14	17.0	16.9	0.13	14.9	14.7	0.19
Nicolas Batum	48	49	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.11	10	4	6	18.5	15.3	3.15	14.7	15.0	-0.24
Armon Johnson	18	18	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	9	-4	16.3	17.2	-0.82	16.7	14.4	2.27
LaMarcus Aldridge	72	72	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	9	-4	17.2	15.9	1.31	14.1	17.5	-3.39
Marcus Camby	52	53	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	9	-4	18.7	14.6	4.08	16.2	12.9	3.31
Fabricio Oberto	6	8	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	14	-14	11.0	17.4	-6.42	14.6	14.9	-0.24
Rudy Fernandez	43	44	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	17	-20	15.7	18.1	-2.43	14.2	15.5	-1.33
Dante Cunningham	29	28	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.06	-2	16	-18	15.3	17.8	-2.53	14.4	15.0	-0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.65,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.26,0.34,0.48,0.38,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.53,0.81,0.89,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 107, WAS 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.49,0.52,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.33,0.48,0.3,0.22,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.66,0.75,0.96,1,1,1	93.0%
TOR 83, CLE 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.68,0.93,0.96,0.98,1	92.9%
SAS 111, DAL 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.43,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.8,0.93,0.9,0.9,1	92.7%