NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	83		Excitement	6.9 [409]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +20.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	90		Comeback	2.8 [549]		LVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): -15.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. Ford	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.00	0.10	0.00	8	44%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	10	60%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	10	57%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	13	62%	0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	11	27%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.16	-0.01	-0.10	0.05	18	50%	-0.03	3	-0.13	12	83%	0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.06	0.14	-0.00	22	66%	0.34	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.05	0.01	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	9	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	10	58%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Delonte West	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	43%	-0.02	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	11	32%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	14	44%	-0.03	1	-0.05	8	75%	0.02
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.0	25.6	15.0	23.0	2.5	31.5	127.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +34.3%

CLE +4.0%

CLE +27.4%

TOR -13.7%

TOR -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CLE	NBA	TOR	CLE	NBA
this game	15.7	16.8	15.4	94.3	101.1	105.7
season	15.6	16.4		108.5	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.7		104.1	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.7	15.0	16.0	17.5	15.7
CLE	15.9	17.1	16.0	18.4	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrea Bargnani	33	33	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.02	2	-9	11	16.3	15.4	0.87	14.3	18.3	-4.03
Jamario Moon	41	39	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.05	1	-8	9	15.8	15.7	0.15	15.7	17.7	-1.94
Jose Calderon	55	54	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.17	6	-13	19	15.5	16.0	-0.48	16.7	17.0	-0.31
Anthony Parker	69	69	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.22	6	-13	19	15.2	17.5	-2.23	17.0	16.0	0.98
Kris Humphries	17	17	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.11	-11	4	-15	15.4	15.8	-0.39	16.5	16.9	-0.42
Chris Bosh	68	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-9	11	15.6	16.3	-0.74	17.1	15.8	1.31
Carlos Delfino	19	20	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	6	-19	17.5	15.2	2.23	16.0	17.0	-0.98
T.J. Ford	33	35	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.12	-13	6	-19	16.0	15.5	0.48	17.0	16.7	0.31
Jason Kapono	47	50	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.35	-8	1	-9	15.7	15.8	-0.15	17.7	15.7	1.94
Rasho Nesterovic	58	60	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.38	-7	0	-7	15.7	15.8	-0.06	17.9	14.4	3.50

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Brown	49	47	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.30	12	-5	17	17.9	15.4	2.51	15.7	15.7	0.04
Joe Smith	34	31	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.38	8	-1	9	18.4	15.8	2.59	15.9	15.6	0.22
Damon Jones	49	46	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.32	9	-2	11	18.0	15.3	2.65	16.0	15.4	0.57
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	57	59	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.12	9	-2	11	15.7	18.8	-3.08	15.7	15.8	-0.05
LeBron James	76	75	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.37	-3	10	-13	17.2	14.8	2.39	15.7	15.7	0.04
Wally Szczerbiak	13	13	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.08	10	-3	13	14.8	17.2	-2.39	15.7	15.7	-0.04
Anderson Varejao	49	47	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.06	5	2	3	17.7	15.7	2.06	15.7	15.8	-0.05
Delonte West	40	42	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	9	-11	15.3	18.0	-2.65	15.4	16.0	-0.57
Sasha Pavlovic	40	41	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.01	-5	12	-17	15.4	17.9	-2.51	15.7	15.7	-0.04
Ben Wallace	38	39	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.04	-8	15	-23	15.8	17.5	-1.69	15.7	15.8	-0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.68,0.93,0.96,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 92, POR 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.65,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.26,0.34,0.48,0.38,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.53,0.81,0.89,0.99,1,1	92.9%
POR 99, ATL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.41,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.47,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.73,0.62,0.89,0.91,0.98,1	92.5%
PHI 107, WAS 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.49,0.52,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.33,0.48,0.3,0.22,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.66,0.75,0.96,1,1,1	92.5%