NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	99		Excitement	7.9 [269]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +29.9%
Atlanta Hawks	105		Comeback	2.6 [647]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -36.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.30	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.3	0.23	0.07	0.01	24	70%	0.33	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.05
Steve Blake	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	4	100%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	-0.00	0.04	-0.03	13	50%	0.11	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00
Meyers Leonard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.06	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	9	39%	-0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.37	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.16,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.31,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37	-0.21	-0.17	-0.01	20	32%	-0.21	6	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.08	0.15	-0.00	5	92%	0.26	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.07	0.02	7	84%	0.21	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.07	0.01	14	57%	0.17	1	-0.04	9	78%	-0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	15	57%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	6	80%	0.13	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
John Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pero Antic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	8	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	-0.00	8	37%	0.04	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	0.01	0.00	17	38%	-0.01	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	25.6	16.2	23.8	1.8	30.4	124.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +54.2%

POR -3.9%

POR -10.3%

ATL +11.4%

POR -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	ATL	NBA	POR	ATL	NBA
this game	15.4	13.7	15.1	100.0	106.1	104.2
season	15.3	14.9		106.5	106.7
opponent	15.4	15.0		101.8	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.6	16.0	14.1	15.0	15.4
ATL	15.4	12.8	15.3	11.7	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Meyers Leonard	36	37	0.38	-0.88	1.26	-0.03	14	-20	34	14.9	15.7	-0.78	14.5	13.2	1.29
Steve Blake	46	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.06	-6	0	-6	15.3	15.5	-0.19	12.5	14.6	-2.09
LaMarcus Aldridge	75	76	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-9	12	15.4	15.4	-0.04	14.6	10.8	3.75
Damian Lillard	81	82	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-5	4	15.2	16.2	-1.02	14.3	11.0	3.27
Will Barton	23	25	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-4	2	17.4	14.8	2.61	13.6	13.7	-0.14
Nicolas Batum	66	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.18	-8	2	-10	15.0	16.2	-1.29	14.3	12.5	1.83
Chris Kaman	53	53	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.16	-10	4	-14	15.2	15.5	-0.30	13.4	14.1	-0.75
Wesley Matthews	81	79	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.31	-6	0	-6	15.1	16.4	-1.30	13.2	15.8	-2.62
Dorell Wright	34	33	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.24	-14	8	-22	16.8	14.7	2.10	11.6	14.7	-3.11

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Scott	30	31	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.20	17	-11	28	11.9	14.5	-2.64	17.3	14.5	2.82
Kyle Korver	80	80	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.26	11	-5	16	13.6	14.3	-0.75	15.7	13.9	1.84
Al Horford	71	71	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.26	6	0	6	13.1	15.4	-2.30	15.5	15.1	0.39
Jeff Teague	71	72	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	1	4	13.8	13.5	0.29	14.6	17.6	-3.04
Kent Bazemore	83	83	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.32	-2	8	-10	13.6	14.4	-0.80	15.4	15.1	0.31
Dennis Schroder	49	48	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.28	-2	8	-10	13.6	13.8	-0.19	15.8	15.0	0.75
John Jenkins	10	10	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	1	4	13.5	13.7	-0.23	15.7	15.3	0.35
Paul Millsap	72	73	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.16	-2	8	-10	14.5	11.7	2.75	14.7	17.2	-2.45
Thabo Sefolosha	4	4	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.02	1	5	-4	19.5	13.5	6.04	16.7	15.3	1.42
Pero Antic	25	23	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.02	-9	15	-24	15.6	13.1	2.53	14.5	15.7	-1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.41,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.47,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.73,0.62,0.89,0.91,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 83, CLE 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.68,0.93,0.96,0.98,1	92.5%
GSW 94, SAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.3,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.57,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.93,0.97,1,1	92.4%
UTA 97, PHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.98,0.99,1	92.4%