NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	98		Excitement	7.6 [285]		MVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): +26.4%
Washington Wizards	105		Comeback	4.8 [315]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -10.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marreese Speights	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14	0.03	0.12	-0.00	5	64%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.03
Rodney Carney	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.05,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	8	60%	0.09	1	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	83%	0.10	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kapono	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.05	11	39%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.05	-0.00	13	56%	0.09	2	-0.12	6	67%	-0.05
Willie Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	13	53%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	5	42%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Andre Iguodala	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	9	50%	-0.02	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.26	0.26	0.14	0.14	0.02	24	62%	0.30	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.04
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	10	69%	0.18	1	-0.05	6	83%	-0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.08	-0.00	11	50%	0.11	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.05
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.00	10	59%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	56%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	39%	0.01	1	-0.04	6	83%	-0.02
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.04	-0.05	4	25%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.5	26.4	15.8	32.0	2.5	37.5	139.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +13.7%

WAS +2.4%

WAS +6.5%

WAS +23.6%

WAS +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	WAS	NBA	PHI	WAS	NBA
this game	13.9	15.9	15.3	102.1	108.2	106.0
season	15.1	15.7		104.2	102.6
opponent	15.3	15.8		107.9	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.7	14.4	13.0	12.9	13.9
WAS	17.8	16.2	16.8	13.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Carney	7	9	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.06	1	-8	9	11.0	14.1	-3.15	16.0	15.9	0.09
Jason Kapono	18	21	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-7	7	14.2	13.8	0.38	15.6	16.0	-0.44
Willie Green	68	70	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.14	4	-11	15	13.1	15.8	-2.64	16.4	14.6	1.78
Jason Smith	11	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-4	1	12.0	14.2	-2.16	11.9	16.4	-4.48
Jrue Holiday	39	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.06	-6	-1	-5	14.2	13.7	0.53	16.1	15.8	0.31
Samuel Dalembert	35	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.02	-5	-2	-3	13.3	14.3	-1.04	17.1	15.3	1.78
Thaddeus Young	54	55	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-7	7	15.4	12.0	3.45	16.2	15.6	0.57
Lou Williams	63	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.38	-1	-6	5	13.7	14.3	-0.54	16.4	14.9	1.53
Elton Brand	66	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	-5	3	13.8	14.2	-0.46	15.5	16.8	-1.26
Andre Iguodala	78	77	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.32	-10	3	-13	14.3	12.2	2.09	15.8	16.3	-0.54
Marreese Speights	41	41	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.26	-13	6	-19	14.1	13.8	0.36	14.8	16.7	-1.97

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Boykins	54	54	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.30	13	-6	19	15.4	16.6	-1.19	13.1	14.9	-1.76
Caron Butler	75	76	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.34	10	-3	13	15.7	16.5	-0.81	14.2	12.7	1.47
Antawn Jamison	68	71	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.39	8	-1	9	15.4	17.1	-1.64	13.6	14.9	-1.30
Gilbert Arenas	70	70	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.36	8	-1	9	15.3	17.4	-2.12	14.1	13.5	0.62
Brendan Haywood	48	49	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.23	2	5	-3	15.3	16.5	-1.20	14.1	13.7	0.46
Andray Blatche	47	45	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	-1	9	14.9	16.9	-1.95	13.9	13.9	0.03
Nick Young	40	37	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.01	-4	11	-15	17.8	14.6	3.20	13.4	14.2	-0.83
Dominic McGuire	17	14	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.05	-3	10	-13	17.9	15.5	2.38	13.1	14.1	-0.99
Fabricio Oberto	30	27	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.02	-4	11	-15	19.5	14.3	5.19	14.4	13.7	0.63
Randy Foye	36	37	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.06	-3	10	-13	15.3	16.3	-1.02	14.9	13.3	1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.59,0.67,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 104, ORL 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.51,0.58,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.6,0.78,0.89,0.97,1,1,1	94.8%
DEN 83, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.61,0.68,0.79,1,1,1	94.0%
CHA 106, CHI 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.67,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1	92.8%