inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 90 Excitement7.5 [343] MVPWill Barton (DEN): +13.7%
Chicago Bulls 99 Comeback2.2 [798] LVPEmmanuel Mudiay (DEN): -23.6%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Will Barton0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.070.06-0.011257%0.1400.00475%0.01
Darrell Arthur0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.040.05-0.001059%0.1000.00250%-0.03
Mike Miller0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.01250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Nikola Jokic0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.000.02658%0.0100.0000%0.00
Randy Foye0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00542%0.0000.002100%0.01
Kenneth Faried-0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.020.011064%0.104-0.1220%-0.03
Jameer Nelson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.030.0020%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Danilo Gallinari-0.100,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1-0.04-0.030.031538%-0.1000.00450%-0.03
Joffrey Lauvergne-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.04,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.03-0.08-0.001337%-0.1000.004100%0.04
JJ Hickson-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.03-0.070.00542%-0.051-0.05250%-0.02
Emmanuel Mudiay-0.240,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24-0.19-0.07-0.021314%-0.192-0.0520%-0.06

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pau Gasol0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.10.100.060.060.031962%0.193-0.09450%-0.00
Doug McDermott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.040.00961%0.121-0.0400%0.00
Jimmy Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.02-0.011647%0.101-0.048100%0.05
Tony Snell0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.02-0.00650%0.0400.0000%0.00
Nikola Mirotic0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.01275%0.0100.0000%0.00
Taj Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00850%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Joakim Noah0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.02-0.01564%0.073-0.10475%0.01
E'Twaun Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00437%0.032-0.0800%0.00
Aaron Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00322%-0.031-0.03367%-0.01
Derrick Rose0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.16-0.07-0.011729%-0.162-0.06875%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.12.029.117.825.01.834.2134.0
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +36.4%
CHI +16.8%
CHI +23.7%
DEN -26.9%
CHI +0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENCHINBADENCHINBA
this game15.114.414.992.8101.0105.1
season14.914.8104.3103.7
opponent14.914.9105.1107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.015.616.313.615.1
CHI16.314.415.012.614.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Randy Foye42430.16-0.660.82-0.026-152114.715.4-0.6415.213.81.37
Nikola Jokic1920-0.05-0.450.40-0.02-1-8717.614.53.1414.214.5-0.30
Danilo Gallinari7071-0.12-0.380.27-0.06-2-7515.015.4-0.4714.713.61.12
Emmanuel Mudiay6363-0.12-0.380.25-0.182-111314.815.7-0.8814.314.7-0.38
Darrell Arthur3839-0.19-0.310.120.02-7-2-515.314.90.3914.514.40.17
JJ Hickson3432-0.21-0.290.08-0.210-9914.015.7-1.7414.914.20.65
Joffrey Lauvergne4142-0.24-0.260.02-0.00-8-1-715.315.00.3315.113.91.23
Kenneth Faried5959-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.25-2-7514.915.3-0.3914.414.5-0.17
Jameer Nelson3435-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.05-112-1315.714.80.8814.714.30.38
Mike Miller3031-0.39-0.12-0.27-0.18-7-2-514.815.2-0.3912.515.3-2.86
Will Barton5555-0.660.16-0.82-0.22-156-2115.414.70.6413.815.2-1.37

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pau Gasol76740.77-0.271.040.2418-92714.215.4-1.2515.115.2-0.15
Doug McDermott60590.56-0.060.620.1514-51914.214.7-0.4915.214.90.26
Derrick Rose75750.54-0.040.580.2890914.215.3-1.1915.613.42.25
Jimmy Butler80790.420.080.330.2172514.713.21.4915.115.3-0.28
Taj Gibson39370.140.36-0.220.0827-514.014.7-0.7316.614.12.50
Aaron Brooks19190.100.40-0.30-0.0245-115.914.11.8112.615.7-3.14
Joakim Noah70730.080.42-0.350.16-312-1514.913.21.7614.118.3-4.24
Nikola Mirotic980.010.49-0.470.0109-916.914.22.7019.414.74.66
E'Twaun Moore2221-0.060.56-0.620.00-211-1313.114.8-1.6815.814.90.84
Tony Snell4040-0.060.56-0.620.06-413-1714.214.6-0.3214.615.4-0.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.73,0.61,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.82,0.93,0.96,0.94,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 94, CLE 960.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.6,0.78,0.85,0.97,0.94,0.92,192.3%
OKC 112, CHA 1230.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.61,0.75,0.85,0.99,1,192.1%
PHX 85, LAL 910.5,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.73,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.98,0.98,192.0%