NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	112		Excitement	8.5 [211]		MVP	Enes Kanter (OKC): +27.6%
Charlotte Hornets	123		Comeback	1.9 [633]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -11.6%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Enes Kanter	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.19,0.24,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.14	0.14	0.00	13	69%	0.30	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Alex Abrines	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	6	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	-0.05	0.00	10	82%	0.17	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Jerami Grant	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Semaj Christon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	20	43%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Russell Westbrook	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	31	44%	-0.03	4	-0.08	13	85%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.07	0.00	4	82%	0.14	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.08,-0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.02	18	55%	0.20	2	-0.10	15	87%	0.04
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	9	70%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	6	57%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.07	0.03	13	57%	0.13	3	-0.06	9	100%	0.06
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.06	-0.02	9	42%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.01	-0.01	11	65%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	5	69%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Treveon Graham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	32.4	15.4	26.6	2.4	41.3	144.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +19.2%

CHA +21.8%

OKC -6.8%

CHA +17.9%

OKC -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	CHA	NBA	OKC	CHA	NBA
this game	14.2	13.9	14.8	109.8	119.4	107.7
season	14.0	15.1		107.0	107.9
opponent	14.8	15.1		107.9	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	15.7	13.9	13.6	13.4	14.2
CHA	12.0	15.4	15.2	13.3	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Abrines	50	50	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-9	7	13.3	15.0	-1.76	12.6	15.2	-2.65
Anthony Morrow	10	12	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.12	-8	-3	-5	14.1	14.2	-0.06	8.4	14.7	-6.25
Domantas Sabonis	35	37	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.05	-8	-3	-5	15.2	13.6	1.63	13.5	14.2	-0.67
Semaj Christon	32	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	-7	3	14.9	13.8	1.14	13.1	14.3	-1.28
Enes Kanter	40	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-7	3	15.5	13.3	2.25	14.6	13.5	1.12
Jerami Grant	58	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.28	0	-11	11	13.6	15.0	-1.40	15.0	12.7	2.29
Russell Westbrook	71	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.08	-8	-3	-5	13.7	15.3	-1.63	14.2	13.2	1.05
Andre Roberson	61	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	-4	-3	14.6	13.5	1.04	14.4	13.2	1.19
Steven Adams	78	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.14	-8	-3	-5	13.8	15.5	-1.70	14.0	13.6	0.41
Victor Oladipo	75	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.25	-6	-5	-1	14.2	14.0	0.21	14.4	12.8	1.60

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	75	75	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.30	6	5	1	14.7	11.9	2.81	14.2	14.0	0.26
Kemba Walker	71	69	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.15	8	3	5	14.5	12.8	1.68	13.8	14.9	-1.16
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	68	67	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	8	-5	14.2	13.3	0.91	14.1	14.3	-0.24
Marvin Williams	57	55	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.29	0	11	-11	15.1	12.5	2.53	13.6	14.8	-1.25
Frank Kaminsky	53	53	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.28	18	-7	25	12.8	15.2	-2.45	14.3	14.0	0.38
Roy Hibbert	44	44	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.42	-6	17	-23	15.0	13.1	1.93	14.1	14.2	-0.12
Spencer Hawes	52	52	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.08	10	1	9	13.0	14.9	-1.94	14.6	13.7	0.97
Marco Belinelli	33	34	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.02	7	4	3	12.2	14.8	-2.63	14.6	14.0	0.60
Ramon Sessions	32	33	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	8	-5	12.8	14.5	-1.68	14.9	13.8	1.16
Jeremy Lamb	28	27	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.12	5	6	-1	11.9	14.7	-2.81	14.0	14.2	-0.26
Treveon Graham	4	3	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	11	-11	16.5	13.8	2.66	6.7	14.4	-7.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.61,0.75,0.85,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 93, DEN 101	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.65,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.72,0.97,0.98,1	92.6%
DEN 90, CHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.73,0.61,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.82,0.93,0.96,0.94,1,1	92.1%
CHA 95, DET 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.74,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.59,0.55,0.78,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1	92.0%