NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	85		Excitement	6.9 [414]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (LAL): +9.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	91		Comeback	3.2 [677]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -34.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
PJ Tucker	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	10	62%	0.08	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	11	45%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	11	58%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.05
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	9	55%	0.08	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.04
Michael Beasley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	15	55%	0.07	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Shannon Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Kendall Marshall	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	5	33%	-0.05	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.04	0.00	8	25%	-0.07	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.16	-0.09	-0.00	12	27%	-0.12	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	16	56%	0.15	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	2	125%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	16	47%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	6	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	9	52%	0.04	2	-0.07	3	67%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	15	53%	0.04	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.03
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	0.01	11	45%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.21,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.31,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35	-0.35	-0.24	-0.12	-0.01	8	22%	-0.11	8	-0.24	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.0	28.1	16.3	29.4	1.8	31.3	132.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +35.6%

PHX -5.3%

LAL +15.4%

LAL +3.2%

LAL +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAL	NBA	PHX	LAL	NBA
this game	14.8	14.8	15.4	87.6	92.9	104.1
season	15.2	14.9		99.7	106.0
opponent	15.3	15.1		105.7	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.8	13.2	13.6	19.7	14.8
LAL	13.4	14.0	15.2	17.3	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Tucker	65	65	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-8	10	14.8	14.6	0.24	14.8	14.7	0.13
Shannon Brown	10	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.02	-1	-5	4	15.8	14.6	1.17	13.9	14.9	-0.99
Jermaine O'Neal	53	55	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.23	3	-9	12	15.5	13.9	1.59	14.7	14.9	-0.26
Luis Scola	61	62	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.13	-3	-3	0	13.9	16.2	-2.25	15.0	14.5	0.50
Goran Dragic	66	66	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-5	4	14.2	16.0	-1.88	15.0	14.3	0.66
Kendall Marshall	31	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-1	-4	16.0	14.2	1.88	14.3	15.0	-0.66
Markieff Morris	36	36	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-3	0	16.2	13.9	2.25	14.5	15.0	-0.50
Marcin Gortat	44	43	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	3	-12	13.9	15.5	-1.59	14.9	14.7	0.26
Jared Dudley	53	54	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.20	-8	2	-10	14.0	15.7	-1.66	14.9	14.6	0.31
Michael Beasley	66	67	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.36	-5	-1	-4	15.1	14.0	1.15	14.8	14.8	-0.08

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	82	79	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.40	10	-4	14	15.3	12.1	3.25	14.7	14.8	-0.03
Dwight Howard	83	82	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.28	6	0	6	14.6	15.7	-1.12	14.5	16.1	-1.63
Antawn Jamison	68	67	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	3	0	14.2	16.1	-1.85	15.0	14.2	0.85
Steve Nash	66	65	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.16	5	1	4	15.0	14.3	0.75	14.0	16.2	-2.19
Jodie Meeks	28	28	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	2	2	15.3	14.6	0.70	16.1	14.2	1.95
Steve Blake	32	32	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.17	1	5	-4	14.3	15.0	-0.75	16.2	14.0	2.19
Earl Clark	57	58	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	3	0	14.9	14.6	0.30	15.0	14.4	0.66
Kobe Bryant	74	74	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.12	-2	8	-10	14.6	15.3	-0.67	14.1	17.0	-2.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.73,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 82, SAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.71,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.99,1	92.9%
SEA 94, BOS 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.75,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.52,0.58,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.96,0.89,1,1,1	92.7%
DEN 90, CHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.73,0.61,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.82,0.93,0.96,0.94,1,1	92.0%