NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	94		Excitement	6.4 [536]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +35.8%
Boston Celtics	104		Comeback	2.4 [636]		LVP	Jerome James (SEA): -16.3%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.09	-0.00	5	90%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.04	0.03	24	59%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Earl Watson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.06	-0.00	4	62%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Olumide Oyedeji	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.04	0.05	5	91%	0.02	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Vin Baker	-0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	-0.07	-0.04	-0.07	20	50%	0.06	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	14	32%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	3	0%	-0.14	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.15	0.18	-0.03	26	64%	0.45	2	-0.09	3	33%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.03	0.02	9	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	6	64%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Tony Battie	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	6	44%	-0.02	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.13	0.03	-0.04	19	47%	0.06	7	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.3	25.5	15.6	22.4	2.6	34.0	123.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +49.9%

SEA -2.9%

BOS +3.0%

BOS +0.8%

SEA -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	BOS	NBA	SEA	BOS	NBA
this game	16.8	14.3	15.6	101.1	113.0	102.3
season	16.0	15.0		106.3	100.9
opponent	15.7	15.8		98.8	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	18.2	14.1	17.5	17.5	16.8
BOS	15.2	14.7	15.2	12.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	37	36	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.23	6	-16	22	15.9	17.4	-1.51	16.0	13.3	2.76
Olumide Oyedeji	8	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-6	2	19.7	16.5	3.26	15.1	14.3	0.85
Desmond Mason	59	60	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.10	0	-10	10	15.9	18.2	-2.30	14.3	14.4	-0.09
Jerome James	28	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-7	4	17.0	16.7	0.27	15.1	14.0	1.08
Gary Payton	85	82	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.16	0	-10	10	16.4	20.7	-4.35	14.5	13.5	0.95
Earl Watson	32	32	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.09	-8	-2	-6	18.2	16.0	2.20	15.1	13.9	1.19
Brent Barry	66	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	0	-10	16.3	17.9	-1.62	13.5	16.4	-2.89
Vin Baker	75	74	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.10	-14	4	-18	17.1	15.6	1.44	14.1	15.4	-1.29
Rashard Lewis	75	75	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.20	-17	7	-24	17.4	14.0	3.44	13.7	17.1	-3.33

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Anderson	59	59	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.16	19	-9	28	13.6	15.8	-2.20	17.7	15.2	2.47
Paul Pierce	76	77	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.12	18	-8	26	14.1	15.3	-1.17	18.1	10.4	7.73
Joe Johnson	79	80	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.24	9	1	8	14.0	16.6	-2.64	16.1	21.1	-5.00
Vitaly Potapenko	26	27	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.20	9	1	8	14.4	14.3	0.05	16.9	16.7	0.11
Antoine Walker	76	76	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.18	6	4	2	14.6	13.2	1.40	16.8	16.8	0.01
Walter McCarty	16	17	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.03	4	6	-2	13.2	14.6	-1.40	16.8	16.8	-0.01
Tony Battie	33	32	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	8	-6	14.6	14.2	0.45	17.7	16.3	1.44
Mark Blount	28	29	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.06	1	9	-8	15.5	13.8	1.71	16.8	16.7	0.08
Erick Strickland	34	34	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.11	-9	19	-28	14.4	14.3	0.05	14.4	18.1	-3.72
Milt Palacio	33	34	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.05	-9	19	-28	15.8	13.6	2.20	15.2	17.7	-2.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.75,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.52,0.58,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.96,0.89,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 86, TOR 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.0%
BOS 89, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.82,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.98,1,1	93.5%
MEM 97, PHX 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.58,0.79,0.8,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.96,1	93.2%