NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	86		Excitement	6.0 [591]		MVP	Amir Johnson (TOR): +21.9%
Toronto Raptors	97		Comeback	1.6 [743]		LVP	Jameer Nelson (ORL): -14.3%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeQuan Jones	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	5	70%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.01	7	42%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Glen Davis	0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	17	47%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	11	62%	0.08	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.04
Josh McRoberts	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gustavo Ayon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.04	0.03	11	46%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Arron Afflalo	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	0.00	-0.08	0.04	10	58%	-0.01	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.04
Jameer Nelson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.16	-0.00	-0.02	13	29%	-0.03	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.12	0.15	0.06	6	88%	0.24	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.09	0.01	9	67%	0.14	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.01	9	55%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	16	54%	0.05	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	19	42%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	8	53%	-0.03	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	5	37%	-0.03	2	-0.07	6	33%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	27.1	14.7	28.3	2.6	29.2	125.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +49.8%

ORL -14.4%

ORL -6.0%

TOR +20.2%

TOR +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	TOR	NBA	ORL	TOR	NBA
this game	15.7	15.9	15.4	93.5	107.8	104.1
season	15.5	16.1		100.3	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.3		105.8	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.3	15.3	14.0	17.2	15.7
TOR	15.6	16.0	17.3	14.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Nicholson	33	32	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.09	8	-19	27	13.5	17.0	-3.48	15.8	16.0	-0.24
Gustavo Ayon	26	25	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.04	5	-16	21	13.7	16.5	-2.88	14.6	16.4	-1.79
DeQuan Jones	46	45	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.13	-1	-10	9	14.7	16.7	-1.96	15.6	16.3	-0.71
Maurice Harkless	21	20	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.11	3	-14	17	15.3	15.8	-0.50	14.8	16.2	-1.39
Arron Afflalo	66	66	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	-3	-5	15.6	16.1	-0.55	16.2	15.2	1.05
Josh McRoberts	29	28	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-7	-4	-3	16.0	15.6	0.46	15.9	16.0	-0.06
Jameer Nelson	68	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	2	-15	15.8	15.4	0.46	15.8	16.2	-0.37
E'Twaun Moore	52	51	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.34	-9	-2	-7	16.0	15.4	0.56	16.1	15.7	0.47
Glen Davis	61	60	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.20	-14	3	-17	17.0	13.3	3.71	16.1	15.6	0.55
Nikola Vucevic	58	57	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.08	-19	8	-27	17.2	13.2	3.94	16.7	14.6	2.05

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrea Bargnani	72	73	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.13	20	-9	29	16.3	14.4	1.86	16.6	12.5	4.09
Jose Calderon	79	80	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.12	15	-4	19	15.9	16.3	-0.39	16.2	12.7	3.51
Linas Kleiza	52	53	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.19	7	4	3	14.8	17.4	-2.57	15.6	15.9	-0.36
Amir Johnson	49	51	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.27	3	8	-5	15.4	16.6	-1.24	14.6	17.1	-2.49
John Lucas III	20	21	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.22	1	10	-9	16.1	15.9	0.21	16.7	15.4	1.23
DeMar DeRozan	72	75	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.05	8	3	5	16.1	15.1	1.03	15.0	18.7	-3.67
Dominic McGuire	38	39	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	7	-3	17.4	14.8	2.57	15.9	15.6	0.36
Ed Davis	15	15	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	11	-11	14.5	16.2	-1.68	15.7	15.7	0.02
Terrence Ross	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	14.3	16.1	-1.78	15.0	15.8	-0.79
Jonas Valanciunas	44	45	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.12	-1	12	-13	16.4	15.5	0.98	15.6	15.8	-0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 94, BOS 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.75,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.52,0.58,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.96,0.89,1,1,1	94.0%
LAC 100, TOR 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.8%
BOS 89, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.82,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.98,1,1	93.3%