NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	89		Excitement	6.6 [472]		MVP	Eric Williams (CLE): +19.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Comeback	1.6 [795]		LVP	Jeff McInnis (CLE): -13.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	4	79%	0.09	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Marcus Banks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	5	75%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Walter McCarty	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	12	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	13	46%	0.00	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Ricky Davis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.04
Paul Pierce	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.07	-0.03	30	46%	-0.06	2	-0.05	9	78%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.04	0.13	-0.01	10	64%	0.22	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Dajuan Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	60%	0.04	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	25	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	15	50%	0.04	2	-0.07	8	87%	0.03
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	9	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	10	26%	-0.10	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.8	31.1	19.5	28.2	3.0	40.2	151.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +11.4%

BOS -0.2%

CLE +24.1%

CLE +9.4%

CLE +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CLE	NBA	BOS	CLE	NBA
this game	14.0	16.2	15.7	93.7	101.0	100.5
season	14.4	15.7		99.5	99.8
opponent	15.5	15.9		102.3	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.9	13.8	14.3	13.9	14.0
CLE	14.3	13.8	17.8	19.5	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mihm	46	47	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.09	5	-13	18	13.8	14.1	-0.36	15.1	17.2	-2.14
Jiri Welsch	46	47	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.08	-2	-6	4	14.3	13.7	0.65	16.8	15.6	1.20
Mike James	58	59	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	-5	2	14.2	13.6	0.57	16.4	15.8	0.55
Marcus Banks	38	39	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-3	-2	13.4	14.3	-0.91	15.6	16.5	-0.90
Ricky Davis	55	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.31	-2	-6	4	13.5	14.6	-1.05	17.0	15.0	1.97
Mark Blount	85	86	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.23	-8	0	-8	14.2	11.8	2.42	16.8	11.1	5.67
Walter McCarty	59	59	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.21	-13	5	-18	13.7	14.3	-0.59	16.2	16.2	0.02
Paul Pierce	88	88	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.32	-12	4	-16	14.2	11.6	2.59	15.4	24.5	-9.08

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Williams	64	64	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.23	21	-13	34	15.7	17.1	-1.37	14.0	13.8	0.19
LeBron James	88	87	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.26	19	-11	30	15.6	22.0	-6.35	14.2	11.1	3.10
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	72	73	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.28	13	-5	18	16.4	15.5	0.96	14.4	12.5	1.91
Jeff McInnis	80	79	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	-5	18	15.7	18.3	-2.56	13.7	15.4	-1.77
Ira Newble	56	57	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.35	7	1	6	15.6	16.9	-1.28	13.9	14.1	-0.18
DeSagana Diop	18	17	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	5	-2	15.6	16.3	-0.76	11.6	14.5	-2.83
Kedrick Brown	4	3	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.07	-7	15	-22	22.5	15.9	6.60	8.0	14.2	-6.16
Dajuan Wagner	17	17	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.01	-9	17	-26	20.0	15.4	4.65	14.7	13.8	0.90
Kevin Ollie	24	22	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.02	-9	17	-26	18.6	15.4	3.21	13.5	14.1	-0.67
Carlos Boozer	57	56	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.03	-11	19	-30	15.9	16.5	-0.61	14.4	13.3	1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.82,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 94, BOS 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.75,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.52,0.58,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.96,0.89,1,1,1	93.5%
ORL 86, TOR 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.3%
DET 98, GSW 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.47,0.47,0.63,0.64,0.86,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.7%