NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	98		Excitement	6.5 [502]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +27.0%
Golden State Warriors	105		Comeback	1.7 [1075]		LVP	Andre Drummond (DET): -18.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.05	0.00	4	87%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cartier Martin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	0.04	15	43%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	18	48%	0.02	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.04
Reggie Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	15	47%	0.00	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	9	44%	0.04	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.05	-0.06	0.07	23	46%	-0.07	3	-0.12	2	0%	-0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.13	0.13	-0.01	19	67%	0.32	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.00	5	77%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.06	0.03	7	87%	0.16	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	8	75%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.01	9	67%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	11	45%	-0.05	3	-0.06	7	71%	-0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.11,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.06	-0.02	15	30%	-0.07	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.5	27.5	15.5	20.6	2.4	29.6	119.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +59.2%

GSW +1.3%

DET -10.0%

GSW +1.4%

DET -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	GSW	NBA	DET	GSW	NBA
this game	16.5	13.1	15.1	101.0	107.1	104.2
season	15.7	13.6		104.0	109.2
opponent	15.5	15.3		99.7	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.0	16.9	18.3	16.6	16.6
GSW	11.9	13.3	14.6	13.2	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Tolliver	13	12	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.06	6	-13	19	15.8	16.6	-0.80	15.3	12.8	2.55
Caron Butler	42	43	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.06	-1	-6	5	16.5	16.4	0.15	13.1	13.1	0.04
Greg Monroe	65	66	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-10	13	16.2	17.0	-0.85	13.0	13.2	-0.23
Cartier Martin	29	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-4	1	16.6	16.4	0.13	14.0	12.7	1.29
Spencer Dinwiddie	33	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-1	-5	15.6	16.9	-1.35	14.5	12.4	2.10
Reggie Jackson	64	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.24	-1	-6	5	16.9	15.6	1.35	12.4	14.5	-2.10
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	74	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	-2	-3	16.8	15.4	1.35	12.7	14.3	-1.58
Andre Drummond	68	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.22	-8	1	-9	16.8	15.8	1.01	12.7	14.2	-1.52
Jodie Meeks	49	49	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.35	-5	-2	-3	15.9	17.1	-1.23	13.1	13.1	0.02
Tayshaun Prince	48	48	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.16	-15	8	-23	16.6	16.3	0.28	13.3	12.9	0.35

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	57	56	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.36	6	1	5	13.2	13.0	0.16	16.4	16.6	-0.21
Leandro Barbosa	40	40	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.38	0	7	-7	13.2	13.0	0.27	15.8	16.9	-1.09
Klay Thompson	70	69	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	-4	15	13.0	13.4	-0.47	16.9	15.5	1.41
Shaun Livingston	43	42	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	8	-9	14.1	12.3	1.78	16.8	16.2	0.53
Marreese Speights	38	37	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.13	6	1	5	12.7	13.3	-0.58	16.2	16.6	-0.49
Stephen Curry	69	70	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	-1	9	13.0	13.3	-0.36	16.7	15.9	0.75
Andrew Bogut	60	60	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	6	-5	13.3	12.7	0.58	16.6	16.2	0.49
Draymond Green	65	65	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	8	-9	12.8	13.8	-1.00	16.1	17.3	-1.22
Harrison Barnes	48	46	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.09	5	2	3	12.8	13.4	-0.59	16.5	16.4	0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.47,0.47,0.63,0.64,0.86,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 78, CHH 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.85,0.91,0.99,0.99,0.96,1,1	93.8%
PHX 101, DAL 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.3,0.44,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.85,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.3%
BOS 89, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.82,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.98,1,1	92.7%