NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	78		Excitement	6.5 [488]		MVP	Baron Davis (CHH): +11.7%
Charlotte Hornets	85		Comeback	1.9 [618]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -15.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0	-0.07	0.04	-0.04	17	53%	0.12	6	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Darvin Ham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Ervin Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	2	67%	-0.00	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	19	44%	-0.00	6	-0.15	1	100%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.02	0.09	-0.04	14	58%	0.24	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.04	0.05	-0.04	26	51%	0.14	3	-0.08	9	100%	0.06
Otis Thorpe	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	10	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.05	-0.03	16	35%	-0.10	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.04	13	36%	-0.11	2	-0.04	10	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.5	31.1	18.4	27.4	1.7	35.0	142.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -10.3%

CHH +29.1%

MIL -3.0%

CHH +33.1%

CHH +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHH	NBA	MIL	CHH	NBA
this game	13.9	17.2	15.5	84.8	91.4	100.9
season	14.9	15.8		105.9	99.7
opponent	15.6	15.8		97.0	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.0	13.9	16.5	12.5	13.9
CHH	17.0	16.1	17.8	18.0	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	34	34	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.20	3	-10	13	15.4	13.0	2.35	18.0	16.8	1.19
Darvin Ham	12	13	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.06	-7	0	-7	13.7	13.9	-0.18	18.2	17.0	1.18
Scott Williams	31	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.11	-11	4	-15	14.8	13.4	1.41	17.2	17.2	-0.08
Ervin Johnson	61	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.40	4	-11	15	13.4	14.8	-1.41	17.2	17.2	0.08
Ray Allen	82	83	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-4	1	13.8	14.8	-1.01	17.2	17.0	0.24
Glenn Robinson	76	80	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.19	-11	4	-15	13.4	16.2	-2.77	16.8	19.9	-3.15

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	80	79	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.24	15	-8	23	17.0	18.6	-1.63	13.6	16.0	-2.44
Baron Davis	84	84	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.29	13	-6	19	16.9	20.1	-3.21	13.8	15.2	-1.48
Elden Campbell	71	69	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.36	6	1	5	17.8	15.4	2.43	13.7	14.6	-0.88
Jamal Mashburn	88	86	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.24	10	-3	13	17.0	20.6	-3.58	13.5	19.8	-6.34
David Wesley	86	85	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.24	7	0	7	17.5	13.4	4.09	14.0	12.9	1.13
Jamaal Magloire	22	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.07	1	6	-5	15.4	17.8	-2.43	14.6	13.7	0.88
Eddie Robinson	19	19	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.11	-9	16	-25	17.6	17.1	0.52	15.4	13.5	1.85
Otis Thorpe	15	15	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.06	-8	15	-23	19.0	16.9	2.13	16.5	13.4	3.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.85,0.91,0.99,0.99,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 98, GSW 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.47,0.47,0.63,0.64,0.86,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.8%
PHX 101, DAL 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.3,0.44,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.85,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.3%
BKN 96, NOP 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,1	92.5%