NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	96		Excitement	6.4 [529]		MVP	Quincy Pondexter (NOP): +22.1%
New Orleans Pelicans	102		Comeback	1.4 [535]		LVP	Deron Williams (BKN): -18.0%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	12	68%	0.12	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Brook Lopez	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	14	52%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	17	62%	0.12	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.01	12	54%	0.10	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.04
Alan Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.00	11	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markel Brown	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	9	40%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.02	14	31%	-0.10	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.05

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22	0.22	0.17	0.07	0.02	13	86%	0.28	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	7	57%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	6	86%	0.13	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	11	54%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	6	71%	0.15	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	7	69%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	13	47%	0.04	3	-0.08	6	67%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	11	33%	-0.03	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	24.6	16.4	25.2	1.8	31.2	125.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +58.0%

NOP +7.0%

NOP +2.7%

BKN -18.1%

NOP +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	NOP	NBA	BKN	NOP	NBA
this game	15.1	14.4	15.1	99.0	104.1	104.2
season	15.3	15.8		102.9	106.3
opponent	15.2	15.3		106.1	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.3	14.4	17.5	14.4	15.1
NOP	14.5	15.6	12.0	15.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markel Brown	63	62	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	0	-6	15.5	14.4	1.08	13.3	16.4	-3.05
Brook Lopez	68	69	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.31	3	-9	12	14.2	17.1	-2.89	15.5	11.8	3.69
Mason Plumlee	29	29	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	3	-12	17.1	14.2	2.89	11.8	15.5	-3.69
Thaddeus Young	55	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-3	0	15.3	14.8	0.54	14.9	13.8	1.05
Alan Anderson	71	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-1	-4	15.0	15.5	-0.48	13.7	16.4	-2.68
Deron Williams	68	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.19	-6	0	-6	15.0	15.3	-0.33	14.3	14.6	-0.30
Jarrett Jack	55	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.47	3	-9	12	14.1	16.4	-2.24	16.1	12.1	4.05
Joe Johnson	76	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.27	-7	1	-8	15.5	13.6	1.97	14.5	14.1	0.40

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Pondexter	82	82	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.29	10	-4	14	14.0	16.7	-2.77	15.2	14.7	0.53
Eric Gordon	72	72	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.23	9	-3	12	13.9	16.0	-2.09	15.7	13.5	2.20
Tyreke Evans	77	75	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.22	6	0	6	14.5	14.3	0.12	14.9	16.0	-1.15
Alexis Ajinca	39	38	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	2	2	15.0	14.1	0.91	15.4	14.9	0.46
Luke Babbitt	45	43	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	8	-10	15.7	13.3	2.41	14.8	15.3	-0.50
Dante Cunningham	69	69	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	2	2	14.1	15.2	-1.06	15.2	14.9	0.26
Omer Asik	59	59	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	4	-2	14.1	15.0	-0.91	14.9	15.4	-0.46
Norris Cole	47	47	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.19	-3	9	-12	15.2	13.7	1.55	14.7	15.5	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 91, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.79,0.75,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.83,1	93.4%
IND 88, BOS 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1	93.2%
CLE 111, WAS 119	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.84,0.98,0.99,1	93.1%