NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	88		Excitement	6.8 [483]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +16.1%
Boston Celtics	99		Comeback	1.2 [1146]		LVP	Danny Granger (IND): -19.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. Ford	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	11	57%	0.10	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.00	6	83%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	5	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	23	36%	-0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	-0.14	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	14	45%	0.00	4	-0.14	5	100%	0.04
Danny Granger	-0.20	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.08	-0.00	20	39%	-0.09	4	-0.11	9	89%	0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.07	0.00	8	82%	0.24	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.04
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.00	16	52%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	15	56%	0.15	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.14	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semih Erden	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.04	14	60%	0.09	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.02	8	58%	0.01	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	10	41%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.7	31.2	15.7	27.0	2.4	31.5	135.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +79.3%

IND -4.6%

IND -15.2%

IND -10.6%

BOS +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BOS	NBA	IND	BOS	NBA
this game	15.7	14.3	15.5	92.6	102.1	105.7
season	14.7	15.7		103.1	104.8
opponent	15.8	15.4		99.6	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.8	14.4	19.0	13.1	15.7
BOS	13.2	13.9	14.6	15.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Jones	29	30	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-12	13	16.4	15.4	1.02	13.5	14.7	-1.22
Tyler Hansbrough	23	22	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-14	17	17.9	15.0	2.95	14.8	14.2	0.62
T.J. Ford	36	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.11	0	-11	11	15.1	16.0	-0.91	14.3	14.3	-0.03
Brandon Rush	44	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	-4	-3	18.2	13.5	4.67	14.0	14.7	-0.68
Jeff Foster	34	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	-3	-5	16.2	15.4	0.78	13.7	14.7	-1.07
James Posey	38	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-5	-1	13.9	16.9	-3.01	14.9	13.9	1.02
Darren Collison	59	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.06	-11	0	-11	16.0	15.1	0.91	14.3	14.3	0.03
Danny Granger	86	87	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.20	-7	-4	-3	15.3	19.1	-3.80	14.4	13.6	0.83
Mike Dunleavy	60	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.20	-8	-3	-5	14.3	17.9	-3.59	14.3	14.4	-0.06
Roy Hibbert	66	67	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.18	-12	1	-13	15.4	16.4	-1.02	14.7	13.5	1.22

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	74	72	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.10	18	-7	25	14.4	14.3	0.05	16.0	14.7	1.35
Nate Robinson	85	83	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.05	19	-8	27	14.2	15.1	-0.85	16.3	11.2	5.06
Shaquille O'Neal	45	45	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	-1	13	13.7	14.9	-1.26	14.6	16.6	-1.96
Ray Allen	74	74	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.10	10	1	9	14.4	14.3	0.05	16.4	13.3	3.07
Kevin Garnett	67	66	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	1	9	14.5	14.0	0.49	16.3	14.3	1.91
Glen Davis	68	67	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	10	-9	14.8	13.3	1.52	15.8	15.3	0.50
Marquis Daniels	43	41	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	11	-11	13.7	14.8	-1.11	14.3	16.7	-2.43
Semih Erden	13	12	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.06	-1	12	-13	14.3	14.3	-0.04	15.5	15.7	-0.20
Avery Bradley	13	12	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.11	-8	19	-27	14.2	14.4	-0.13	11.2	16.3	-5.06
Von Wafer	3	3	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.03	-6	17	-23	22.7	14.1	8.59	10.0	15.9	-5.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 102, HOU 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.77,0.75,0.71,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.82,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.92,1	94.1%
MEM 86, CHA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1,1	94.0%
PHI 81, CHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.9%