inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 102 Excitement6.5 [482] MVPSteve Francis (HOU): +27.7%
Houston Rockets 109 Comeback1.3 [769] LVPHubert Davis (DAL): -17.6%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0.170,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.110.060.001871%0.253-0.081385%0.04
Howard Eisley0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.110.110.010.011863%0.151-0.042100%0.01
Mark Bryant0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Finley-0.020,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.020.04-0.040.022055%0.062-0.0800%0.00
Christian Laettner-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00150%-0.011-0.032100%0.01
Courtney Alexander-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.040.00450%0.012-0.0800%0.00
Shawn Bradley-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.01233%-0.022-0.052100%0.01
Greg Buckner-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.02-0.040.02837%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Hubert Davis-0.180,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.18-0.12-0.07-0.02835%-0.113-0.06475%-0.03

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Francis0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.280.280.150.140.011678%0.363-0.091479%0.02
Moochie Norris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.140.140.040.07-0.02959%0.1400.00475%0.01
Matt Bullard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.070.06-0.00963%0.1300.001100%0.01
Shandon Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.001369%0.114-0.09683%0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.01-0.01856%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Carlos Rogers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0000%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Walt Williams0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.030.00425%-0.032-0.0600%0.00
Cuttino Mobley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.010.011342%-0.042-0.07786%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game285.82.433.315.624.42.434.6398.5
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +44.1%
DAL -7.8%
HOU +6.6%
HOU +4.9%
HOU +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALHOUNBADALHOUNBA
this game15.716.215.5112.1121.1100.9
season15.216.3104.6104.6
opponent14.915.3102.1101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL14.217.517.513.815.7
HOU15.814.615.319.116.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Greg Buckner52520.09-0.590.69-0.2311-182916.115.10.9916.715.41.23
Mark Bryant450.09-0.590.68-0.003-101313.015.8-2.7918.216.02.16
Courtney Alexander1918-0.14-0.360.21-0.12-1-6517.515.22.2817.415.81.61
Christian Laettner89-0.25-0.250.010.02-92-1113.515.9-2.3811.016.7-5.73
Dirk Nowitzki7979-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.27-2-5315.517.1-1.6316.513.52.97
Shawn Bradley3230-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.07-136-1916.415.31.1417.515.52.07
Michael Finley9190-0.500.00-0.50-0.29-70-715.70.015.6716.20.016.16
Howard Eisley9190-0.500.00-0.50-0.29-70-715.70.015.6716.20.016.16
Hubert Davis7977-0.500.00-0.51-0.21-103-1315.218.6-3.3615.122.6-7.55

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Matt Bullard57580.56-0.060.610.1813-61916.216.10.1514.218.2-3.99
Steve Francis90910.500.000.500.2970716.20.016.1615.70.015.67
Shandon Anderson80810.450.050.400.3052316.215.80.4015.120.1-4.98
Cuttino Mobley77770.430.070.350.3143115.818.1-2.2515.516.4-0.90
Moochie Norris58590.400.100.300.3134-115.916.7-0.8315.915.30.60
Hakeem Olajuwon45450.280.220.050.019-21115.616.7-1.1616.614.81.84
Walt Williams32330.070.43-0.360.0125-317.315.51.7517.814.43.42
Carlos Rogers1111-0.180.68-0.850.06-815-2318.515.82.6216.815.51.31


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.77,0.75,0.71,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.82,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 88, BOS 990.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,194.1%
PHI 98, ORL 1030.5,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.78,0.72,0.73,0.83,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.88,0.86,0.96,193.7%
WAS 86, CHI 980.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.93,1,1,1,1,193.5%