NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	98		Excitement	7.2 [364]		MVP	JaKarr Sampson (PHI): +26.4%
Orlando Magic	103		Comeback	1.7 [755]		LVP	Henry Sims (PHI): -15.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaKarr Sampson	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.17,0.26,0.26	0.11	0.15	-0.00	9	80%	0.29	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jerami Grant	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Hollis Thompson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	9	67%	0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Tim Frazier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Isaiah Canaan	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.02	12	58%	0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	39%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Aldemir	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.01	-0.09	0.02	13	59%	0.07	4	-0.17	1	100%	0.00
Henry Sims	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.06	0.02	8	44%	-0.05	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.09	0.00	10	73%	0.23	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.07	0.00	24	58%	0.20	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.00	0.02	10	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.04	-0.05	11	55%	0.20	5	-0.14	9	89%	0.06
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	56%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	5	27%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	7	45%	-0.03	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.09
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	33.2	16.5	24.3	2.7	43.3	145.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +4.2%

ORL +10.1%

ORL +12.8%

ORL +22.4%

ORL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	15.5	14.5	15.1	101.0	108.4	104.2
season	14.9	14.9		94.3	100.4
opponent	15.3	14.8		105.9	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.1	13.4	18.3	14.7	15.5
ORL	15.1	13.3	15.3	14.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaKarr Sampson	45	44	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.23	6	-11	17	14.3	16.5	-2.15	15.0	14.1	0.92
JaVale McGee	28	25	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.12	2	-7	9	14.5	15.8	-1.30	16.4	13.9	2.54
Jerami Grant	21	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.04	-1	-4	3	15.5	15.4	0.08	14.5	14.5	0.03
Furkan Aldemir	16	16	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	1	-7	18.2	14.9	3.34	14.1	14.6	-0.56
Tim Frazier	41	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-1	-3	14.6	16.1	-1.48	15.5	13.9	1.63
Henry Sims	37	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-1	-3	17.5	14.2	3.27	13.7	15.1	-1.36
Hollis Thompson	55	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.42	5	-10	15	13.9	17.5	-3.63	15.2	13.7	1.43
Robert Covington	66	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-2	-1	15.6	15.2	0.35	14.8	14.0	0.77
Jason Richardson	48	47	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	6	-17	16.0	15.0	1.02	14.0	15.0	-0.96
Isaiah Canaan	59	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-3	1	15.8	14.9	0.89	13.7	15.9	-2.15
Nerlens Noel	69	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.24	-7	2	-9	15.8	14.5	1.30	13.9	16.4	-2.54

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elfrid Payton	70	72	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.34	12	-7	19	14.2	15.5	-1.35	16.1	13.5	2.62
Nikola Vucevic	74	74	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.28	14	-9	23	13.9	16.8	-2.87	16.1	13.3	2.89
Victor Oladipo	74	77	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.28	12	-7	19	14.2	15.7	-1.46	15.9	13.7	2.22
Willie Green	65	66	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.37	8	-3	11	14.0	15.6	-1.57	14.9	16.7	-1.83
Aaron Gordon	22	22	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	0	5	11.1	15.6	-4.47	15.6	15.4	0.22
Channing Frye	37	38	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	2	1	16.0	13.6	2.41	17.6	14.1	3.48
Evan Fournier	29	30	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	5	-5	15.1	14.3	0.83	14.0	16.1	-2.07
Tobias Harris	48	48	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.31	-11	16	-27	15.8	13.2	2.56	15.9	15.0	0.94
Andrew Nicholson	10	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	7	-9	14.5	14.5	-0.03	9.4	16.2	-6.76
Dewayne Dedmon	21	23	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.08	-9	14	-23	16.8	13.9	2.87	13.3	16.1	-2.89
Luke Ridnour	25	25	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.02	-7	12	-19	15.5	14.2	1.35	13.5	16.1	-2.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.78,0.72,0.73,0.83,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.88,0.86,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 102, HOU 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.77,0.75,0.71,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.82,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.92,1	93.7%
LAC 112, PHX 125	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.89,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.5%
CLE 105, UTA 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,0.99,1	93.4%