NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	91		Excitement	7.4 [279]		MVP	Mo Williams (LAC): +23.5%
Los Angeles Clippers	98		Comeback	1.2 [665]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -22.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.18,0.18	0.07	0.10	-0.01	12	56%	0.18	0	0.00	8	100%	0.07
Josh Selby	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.00	0.07	0.00	3	75%	0.14	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Tony Allen	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.02
Marreese Speights	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamed Haddadi	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	5	36%	0.05	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Rudy Gay	-0.07	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07	-0.01	-0.10	-0.04	18	59%	0.09	6	-0.16	5	60%	-0.03
O.J. Mayo	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	19	35%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mike Conley	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23	-0.15	-0.08	-0.00	10	20%	-0.14	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.09	0.15	-0.00	15	60%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	2	117%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.04	0.04	11	71%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.00	5	64%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	11	55%	0.12	2	-0.05	11	91%	0.05
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.02	14	56%	0.16	3	-0.09	8	50%	-0.06
Reggie Evans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	-0.07	4	0%	-0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.02	-0.00	10	45%	0.02	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.8	33.6	17.8	34.4	2.6	44.0	159.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +89.0%

MEM -23.8%

MEM -21.9%

LAC +7.1%

MEM -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAC	NBA	MEM	LAC	NBA
this game	14.3	16.4	15.6	95.8	105.4	102.8
season	15.6	16.2		102.0	106.0
opponent	15.7	15.7		104.5	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.8	12.5	13.7	16.4	14.3
LAC	15.2	18.3	15.1	17.1	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Pondexter	34	32	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.15	6	-13	19	15.1	13.8	1.22	14.1	17.6	-3.54
Josh Selby	27	26	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.21	6	-13	19	14.7	14.1	0.65	16.3	16.4	-0.11
Hamed Haddadi	11	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-5	3	13.5	14.4	-0.82	17.7	16.2	1.52
Dante Cunningham	31	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-7	7	14.6	14.1	0.46	17.9	15.8	2.06
Marreese Speights	15	15	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.08	-8	1	-9	15.1	14.1	0.94	17.5	16.2	1.29
O.J. Mayo	65	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-7	7	14.1	14.6	-0.48	15.5	18.4	-2.82
Rudy Gay	80	81	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-3	-1	14.1	15.1	-1.02	16.5	15.6	0.92
Marc Gasol	83	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.22	-7	0	-7	14.4	13.5	0.89	16.1	18.3	-2.23
Mike Conley	67	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	6	-19	14.1	14.8	-0.73	16.4	16.3	0.11
Tony Allen	62	61	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.14	-13	6	-19	13.9	15.0	-1.16	17.6	14.1	3.54

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	69	69	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.10	17	-10	27	16.0	17.6	-1.67	14.2	14.4	-0.15
Chris Paul	68	69	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.05	18	-11	29	16.6	15.8	0.80	14.5	13.6	0.91
Mo Williams	59	60	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.40	0	7	-7	15.8	17.4	-1.66	14.5	13.9	0.52
Caron Butler	59	58	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.09	10	-3	13	17.2	15.0	2.14	13.6	15.3	-1.72
Blake Griffin	78	80	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.17	7	0	7	16.1	17.9	-1.76	14.3	13.9	0.40
Ryan Gomes	21	22	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	7	-7	14.6	16.9	-2.28	15.3	14.0	1.36
Randy Foye	34	36	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.29	-6	13	-19	14.7	17.3	-2.60	15.1	13.7	1.39
Reggie Evans	9	9	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	8	-9	21.2	15.9	5.35	12.9	14.4	-1.53
Chauncey Billups	44	46	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	7	-7	17.5	15.4	2.03	13.5	15.0	-1.54
Solomon Jones	24	26	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.19	-10	17	-27	17.6	16.0	1.67	14.4	14.2	0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.79,0.75,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 82, PHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.85,0.84,1	93.8%
BKN 96, NOP 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,1	93.4%
SAS 99, POR 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.96,1	92.8%