NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	91		Excitement	4.3 [961]		MVP	Andrew Nicholson (ORL): +13.1%
Orlando Magic	110		Comeback	1.3 [587]		LVP	Elfrid Payton (ORL): -12.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.01	6	73%	0.10	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Jae Crowder	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.03	11	48%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	70%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	57%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Terry Rozier	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	64%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
James Young	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
RJ Hunter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	15	53%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Thomas	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	0.04	18	49%	-0.02	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	7	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	7	19%	-0.08	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.00	-0.01	9	78%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	12	59%	0.09	1	-0.02	8	87%	-0.01
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.01	0.05	7	86%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	9	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	19	47%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Devyn Marble	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	13	52%	-0.01	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.15	-0.02	-0.05	12	21%	-0.08	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	1.7	29.0	15.3	24.4	1.8	34.0	127.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +38.2%

BOS -6.8%

ORL +22.7%

BOS -5.2%

ORL +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ORL	NBA	BOS	ORL	NBA
this game	14.6	16.2	14.9	97.8	117.0	105.1
season	13.9	14.6		104.5	103.6
opponent	14.9	15.0		105.2	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.4	16.8	14.8	13.6	14.6
ORL	14.8	16.7	17.1	16.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Young	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-15	11	12.8	14.7	-1.86	15.2	16.3	-1.09
Terry Rozier	24	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.04	-2	-17	15	13.6	14.9	-1.32	16.4	16.2	0.25
RJ Hunter	10	10	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.13	-8	-11	3	16.9	14.3	2.62	17.2	16.1	1.08
Jonas Jerebko	35	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	-12	5	13.9	15.0	-1.13	16.2	16.2	0.00
Amir Johnson	37	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-15	11	14.4	14.7	-0.30	16.3	16.2	0.14
Kelly Olynyk	33	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.16	-13	-6	-7	15.5	14.1	1.39	16.2	16.2	-0.04
Evan Turner	39	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-13	7	15.6	13.8	1.77	17.0	15.7	1.33
David Lee	43	42	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.19	-15	-4	-11	14.5	14.6	-0.13	15.7	16.7	-1.03
Jared Sullinger	50	52	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.13	-4	-15	11	14.6	14.5	0.13	16.7	15.7	1.03
Isaiah Thomas	62	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-12	5	14.3	15.1	-0.81	15.8	17.4	-1.60
Jae Crowder	64	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-13	7	14.7	14.3	0.36	16.6	15.5	1.02
Avery Bradley	63	64	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	0	-19	14.2	15.2	-1.00	15.7	17.3	-1.52

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Vucevic	64	65	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.05	17	2	15	15.9	17.0	-1.17	14.4	15.0	-0.58
Victor Oladipo	60	60	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.07	16	3	13	16.2	16.2	-0.00	14.2	15.2	-1.06
Elfrid Payton	71	69	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.12	8	11	-3	16.2	16.3	-0.09	14.1	15.8	-1.66
Andrew Nicholson	48	46	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	5	9	16.0	16.5	-0.56	14.6	14.5	0.10
Aaron Gordon	42	41	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.07	12	7	5	16.4	16.1	0.27	14.9	14.3	0.66
Tobias Harris	67	66	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	13	-7	15.5	18.0	-2.48	13.7	16.7	-2.97
Evan Fournier	37	36	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	15	-11	16.8	15.9	0.91	15.9	13.7	2.26
Channing Frye	30	31	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.06	3	16	-13	17.7	15.5	2.15	15.7	14.0	1.68
Shabazz Napier	18	19	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.16	7	12	-5	15.5	16.4	-0.91	14.4	14.6	-0.17
Jason Smith	29	28	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	17	-15	17.6	15.6	2.01	15.0	14.4	0.58
Devyn Marble	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	16	-13	13.5	16.3	-2.79	17.0	14.5	2.49
Mario Hezonja	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	16	-13	13.5	16.3	-2.79	17.0	14.5	2.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 102, LAL 116	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
MIL 80, MEM 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
ATL 82, NYK 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%