NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	82		Excitement	3.9 [1038]		MVP	Jared Jeffries (NYK): +10.8%
New York Knicks	94		Comeback	1.2 [1127]		LVP	Speedy Claxton (ATL): -16.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Salim Stoudamire	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.02	9	63%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Shelden Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	62%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	62%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Cedric Bozeman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Marvin Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.00	0.05	13	56%	-0.02	3	-0.03	15	87%	-0.01
Royal Ivey	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.01	0.04	2	67%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Matt Freije	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	9	53%	0.04	4	-0.11	1	0%	-0.02
Speedy Claxton	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.17	-0.03	-0.04	7	0%	-0.10	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.01	0.03	8	83%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	5	72%	0.10	2	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	10	59%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	13	56%	0.07	2	-0.04	10	60%	-0.04
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	6	17%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	2	70%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	27%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	10	40%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	0.01	-0.01	10	39%	-0.02	4	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.4	30.6	17.4	26.5	2.4	34.4	140.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +19.6%

NYK +6.0%

NYK +12.5%

NYK +11.6%

NYK +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NYK	NBA	ATL	NYK	NBA
this game	16.8	15.7	15.4	93.2	105.6	104.5
season	16.1	15.7		101.1	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.3		106.7	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	18.6	17.0	17.7	14.3	16.8
NYK	15.0	14.3	17.4	16.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelden Williams	27	26	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.15	-4	-8	4	16.7	16.9	-0.23	15.6	15.8	-0.15
Cedric Bozeman	11	13	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.42	15	-27	42	10.9	17.7	-6.77	21.2	14.8	6.36
Solomon Jones	15	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.38	13	-25	38	12.9	17.6	-4.70	18.8	15.0	3.77
Royal Ivey	21	24	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.44	12	-24	36	15.7	17.2	-1.46	16.4	15.5	0.90
Lorenzen Wright	24	23	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.15	-9	-3	-6	15.7	17.2	-1.48	15.7	15.7	-0.09
Matt Freije	15	15	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.32	6	-18	24	14.5	17.3	-2.85	18.2	15.2	2.98
Salim Stoudamire	45	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.27	-17	5	-22	16.6	17.1	-0.47	14.4	16.9	-2.53
Tyronn Lue	48	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	-4	-4	17.4	16.2	1.20	16.5	14.8	1.68
Zaza Pachulia	49	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.17	-18	6	-24	18.4	14.8	3.56	14.8	16.9	-2.14
Marvin Williams	68	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-8	4	16.4	18.3	-1.97	16.1	14.1	2.02
Speedy Claxton	52	54	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.29	-26	14	-40	18.2	14.8	3.43	14.6	17.5	-2.91
Josh Smith	65	63	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.07	-20	8	-28	18.0	13.5	4.54	14.6	18.4	-3.82

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	61	59	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.26	25	-13	38	15.2	16.8	-1.56	17.6	15.2	2.47
Eddy Curry	63	62	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.24	24	-12	36	15.2	17.0	-1.86	17.5	15.2	2.38
Stephon Marbury	55	56	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	-3	18	15.3	16.4	-1.17	17.9	14.9	3.07
Jamal Crawford	64	63	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.23	21	-9	30	14.9	17.8	-2.84	17.8	14.3	3.51
Jared Jeffries	42	42	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	1	10	15.7	15.7	0.04	19.0	14.8	4.20
David Lee	41	42	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.22	15	-3	18	14.2	17.0	-2.78	16.4	17.3	-0.90
Nate Robinson	41	41	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	11	-10	16.2	15.3	0.93	15.2	18.3	-3.06
Renaldo Balkman	26	26	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.39	-12	24	-36	17.0	15.2	1.86	15.2	17.5	-2.38
Jerome James	18	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.41	-14	26	-40	18.0	15.1	2.86	13.4	17.7	-4.33
Malik Rose	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.38	-13	25	-38	18.8	15.0	3.77	12.9	17.6	-4.70
Mardy Collins	18	16	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.37	-13	25	-38	18.8	14.9	3.83	13.2	17.6	-4.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 87, MIN 117	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
NJN 77, PHX 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
PHI 79, IND 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%