inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 102 Excitement4.3 [942] MVPNick Young (LAL): +23.9%
Los Angeles Lakers 116 Comeback1.4 [437] LVPChandler Parsons (MEM): -8.1%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Troy Daniels0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.01-0.02764%0.0900.0000%0.00
Marc Gasol0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.090.010.021561%0.081-0.016100%0.03
Vince Carter0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.080.000.01767%0.0700.004100%0.01
Mike Conley0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.000.001658%0.082-0.024100%0.01
Jarell Martin-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Wade Baldwin IV-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.020100%0.011-0.014100%0.00
JaMychal Green-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00433%-0.0100.001100%0.01
Zach Randolph-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.001239%-0.0100.004100%0.01
James Ennis III-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.0420%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Tony Allen-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.000.01480%0.043-0.05250%-0.02
Andrew Harrison-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.01-0.000.06362%-0.012-0.051080%-0.01
Chandler Parsons-0.080,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.020.00617%-0.0800.0000%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nick Young0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.240.160.04-0.041177%0.2400.00450%0.01
D'Angelo Russell0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.110.02-0.011275%0.162-0.0200%0.00
Jordan Clarkson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.130.010.02976%0.131-0.01333%-0.02
Julius Randle0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.020.03-0.041556%0.112-0.02425%-0.02
Timofey Mozgov0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.01-0.021258%0.071-0.0000%0.00
Lou Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.080.000.04961%0.0500.005100%0.01
Tarik Black0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01443%0.0000.00667%-0.00
Brandon Ingram0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.000.02443%-0.021-0.03633%-0.04
Thomas Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0120%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Luol Deng0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.010.02437%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.42.526.515.632.02.032.2133.1
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +55.3%
MEM -12.3%
LAL +4.9%
LAL +2.2%
LAL +0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMLALNBAMEMLALNBA
this game15.115.114.8105.2123.4107.7
season16.114.5106.4104.8
opponent14.414.9111.6106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM16.518.714.211.715.1
LAL14.816.413.416.015.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Troy Daniels40380.04-0.540.58-0.146-202612.916.6-3.6816.314.32.00
Jarell Martin1212-0.01-0.490.49-0.041-151610.815.7-4.8314.515.2-0.68
Wade Baldwin IV1816-0.03-0.470.45-0.113-172010.616.1-5.5315.215.10.11
Andrew Harrison3633-0.19-0.310.12-0.01-6-8215.514.80.7014.215.6-1.36
Zach Randolph5854-0.21-0.290.09-0.262-161814.715.6-0.9714.316.2-1.88
JaMychal Green4140-0.21-0.290.070.02-8-6-217.213.53.6515.314.90.44
Tony Allen4645-0.23-0.270.04-0.08-5-9415.714.51.1216.114.21.91
Chandler Parsons3029-0.23-0.270.040.03-9-5-416.214.61.6516.014.71.36
James Ennis III3230-0.25-0.25-0.000.19-151-1614.315.4-1.0713.515.8-2.34
Mike Conley6163-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.04-11-3-815.813.82.0015.514.31.25
Vince Carter4343-0.38-0.12-0.260.03-140-1415.614.60.9813.716.3-2.66
Marc Gasol6867-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.04-140-1415.514.01.5615.613.81.80

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Timofey Mozgov72750.65-0.150.800.1218-42214.716.4-1.6615.812.63.20
Julius Randle71730.61-0.110.73-0.0021-72815.414.31.0515.812.73.18
D'Angelo Russell62610.54-0.040.570.0118-42215.614.21.3816.213.23.01
Nick Young50510.410.090.320.1595415.714.51.2116.613.33.34
Luol Deng59600.380.120.27-0.0615-11615.913.72.2915.913.72.15
Jordan Clarkson38410.150.35-0.200.0059-414.015.8-1.8013.816.0-2.22
Brandon Ingram52540.090.41-0.320.12-115-1614.515.8-1.3313.117.5-4.44
Lou Williams3640-0.040.54-0.57-0.01-115-1614.815.3-0.5212.616.8-4.10
Tarik Black2222-0.150.65-0.790.06-721-2814.315.3-1.0713.115.6-2.49
Thomas Robinson88-0.150.65-0.800.05-721-2815.515.10.4413.515.2-1.70


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 91, ORL 1100.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,196.3%
ORL 87, DET 1030.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
GSW 92, ORL 1030.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,195.5%