NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	80		Excitement	4.3 [979]		MVP	Doron Lamb (MIL): +1.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	90		Comeback	1.4 [1141]		LVP	Monta Ellis (MIL): -23.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doron Lamb	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Marquis Daniels	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	8	67%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
John Henson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	2	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Ekpe Udoh	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.03	0.06	26	43%	-0.09	4	-0.08	8	62%	-0.03
Monta Ellis	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	14	13%	-0.17	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	70%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	7	57%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	16	42%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	8	52%	0.05	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	15	43%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	11	33%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	8	56%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.03	10	55%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.8	28.5	14.7	26.3	2.5	29.4	130.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +23.6%

MEM +6.6%

MEM +11.4%

MEM +5.8%

MEM +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	MEM	NBA	MIL	MEM	NBA
this game	14.3	15.7	15.4	83.3	93.8	104.1
season	14.7	16.5		101.6	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.3		99.1	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	12.7	16.2	16.6	12.1	14.3
MEM	12.6	18.9	15.4	17.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doron Lamb	35	36	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.26	9	-19	28	13.7	14.6	-0.90	15.8	15.7	0.11
John Henson	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-15	20	10.0	14.6	-4.60	21.7	15.3	6.44
Joel Przybilla	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-11	12	9.5	14.5	-4.97	22.0	15.5	6.53
Ekpe Udoh	36	36	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-10	10	14.5	14.1	0.43	14.1	16.7	-2.69
Drew Gooden	16	15	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-5	0	14.2	14.3	-0.01	21.2	14.7	6.47
Marquis Daniels	43	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	-6	2	13.8	14.6	-0.81	15.9	15.6	0.30
Ersan Ilyasova	45	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-7	4	14.6	13.9	0.72	15.4	16.1	-0.72
Larry Sanders	44	45	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	-5	0	14.0	14.4	-0.40	15.3	16.2	-0.89
Luc Mbah a Moute	44	44	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	2	-14	14.5	14.0	0.53	15.2	16.2	-1.03
Mike Dunleavy	53	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-4	-2	14.6	13.8	0.81	15.6	15.9	-0.30
Monta Ellis	69	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.14	-8	-2	-6	14.1	14.6	-0.41	15.7	15.9	-0.16
Brandon Jennings	84	83	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	0.01	-22	12	-34	14.8	10.3	4.49	15.4	17.6	-2.17

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	61	62	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.14	11	-1	12	16.2	15.0	1.16	14.2	14.4	-0.14
Marc Gasol	60	62	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.13	11	-1	12	16.6	14.3	2.34	14.6	13.6	0.95
Quincy Pondexter	34	33	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.00	11	-1	12	16.6	15.3	1.36	15.5	13.6	1.82
Wayne Ellington	36	34	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	-2	14	16.7	15.1	1.57	16.3	13.1	3.19
Jerryd Bayless	35	35	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	5	0	17.6	14.7	2.88	14.9	13.9	0.98
Tony Allen	58	58	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.17	2	8	-6	14.8	17.2	-2.48	13.3	15.7	-2.36
Mike Conley	63	65	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.18	1	9	-8	15.1	17.0	-1.97	13.7	15.5	-1.81
Rudy Gay	62	63	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.20	-1	11	-12	15.3	16.6	-1.36	13.6	15.5	-1.82
Marreese Speights	36	34	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.08	-1	11	-12	14.3	16.6	-2.34	13.6	14.6	-0.95
Darrell Arthur	35	34	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	11	-12	15.0	16.2	-1.16	14.4	14.2	0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 91, ORL 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.3%
ATL 82, NYK 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
PHI 79, IND 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%