NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	103		Excitement	3.8 [1090]		MVP	Kevin Love (CLE): +21.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	117		Comeback	2.5 [839]		LVP	Elfrid Payton (ORL): -11.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Nicholson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.02	0.00	9	86%	0.19	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.01	5	108%	0.14	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	10	60%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	7	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Channing Frye	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.12	0.00	0.11	3	150%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	37%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.00
Jason Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	12	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	10	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Aaron Gordon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	10	55%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	7	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.25	0.01	0.04	18	79%	0.26	2	-0.04	7	86%	-0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.20	0.07	0.06	16	81%	0.23	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.02	0.02	8	88%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.01	-0.06	14	45%	0.06	2	-0.02	5	20%	-0.06
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Sasha Kaun	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.05	5	64%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	8	22%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	26.3	14.7	26.2	0.2	28.5	121.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +42.4%

ORL -2.6%

CLE +9.9%

ORL -0.2%

CLE +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CLE	NBA	ORL	CLE	NBA
this game	15.0	16.1	14.9	112.0	125.8	105.1
season	14.6	15.8		103.6	110.3
opponent	14.9	14.9		103.7	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.3	15.3	16.1	14.2	15.0
CLE	17.0	13.5	15.9	18.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Smith	30	31	0.29	-0.79	1.07	-0.07	12	-26	38	13.7	15.6	-1.86	17.1	15.7	1.39
Aaron Gordon	47	48	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.24	12	-26	38	14.4	15.6	-1.20	16.8	15.4	1.35
Shabazz Napier	55	57	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.14	5	-19	24	14.9	15.1	-0.11	16.6	15.5	1.09
Channing Frye	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.24	8	-22	30	13.1	15.3	-2.23	18.4	15.8	2.61
Dewayne Dedmon	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.24	8	-22	30	13.1	15.3	-2.23	18.4	15.8	2.61
Andrew Nicholson	49	50	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.11	-4	-10	6	14.6	15.5	-0.89	15.1	17.4	-2.34
Mario Hezonja	27	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.22	7	-21	28	13.3	15.7	-2.40	18.4	15.2	3.25
Victor Oladipo	48	49	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	1	-16	16.6	13.2	3.38	15.7	16.6	-0.90
Elfrid Payton	37	36	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.05	-19	5	-24	15.1	14.9	0.11	15.5	16.6	-1.09
Evan Fournier	44	44	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	0.05	-22	8	-30	15.3	14.7	0.67	15.9	16.4	-0.52
Tobias Harris	48	48	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	0.18	-28	14	-42	15.5	14.4	1.11	15.4	16.9	-1.54
Nikola Vucevic	49	49	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	0.21	-34	20	-54	16.3	13.5	2.73	15.0	17.5	-2.50

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	65	66	0.80	-0.30	1.10	-0.05	29	-15	44	16.3	15.8	0.46	15.8	12.9	2.88
Kevin Love	64	64	0.72	-0.22	0.93	-0.02	25	-11	36	16.0	16.3	-0.30	15.9	12.9	3.01
Tristan Thompson	65	65	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.03	23	-9	32	16.1	16.1	-0.00	15.7	13.4	2.29
J.R. Smith	72	71	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.09	17	-3	20	16.3	15.6	0.73	15.3	14.0	1.34
Matthew Dellavedova	45	43	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.06	15	-1	16	16.2	16.1	0.16	16.8	13.4	3.34
Jared Cunningham	56	56	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.18	-6	20	-26	15.6	16.9	-1.34	13.4	17.4	-3.94
Sasha Kaun	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	14.0	16.2	-2.19	8.5	15.1	-6.63
Joe Harris	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	14.0	16.2	-2.19	8.5	15.1	-6.63
Anderson Varejao	26	25	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.03	-8	22	-30	16.3	16.1	0.23	13.8	15.4	-1.69
James Jones	29	28	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.11	-11	25	-36	16.3	16.0	0.30	12.9	15.9	-3.01
Richard Jefferson	39	38	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.08	-12	26	-38	16.4	16.0	0.42	13.6	16.0	-2.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 114, LAL 128	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%
SAC 100, PHX 118	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.79,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
MIA 82, ATL 106	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.58,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%