inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 82 Excitement4.2 [1007] MVPDewayne Dedmon (ATL): +8.1%
Atlanta Hawks 106 Comeback1.4 [380] LVPJustise Winslow (MIA): -12.9%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derrick Jones Jr.0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.070.000.03961%0.0400.00580%0.01
James Johnson0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.01-0.01750%0.0400.0000%0.00
Bam Adebayo0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.03960%0.021-0.012100%0.00
Josh Richardson-0.010,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.001142%0.021-0.03475%-0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.010.010.03848%0.011-0.03757%-0.02
Rodney McGruder-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.080.00-0.05620%-0.011-0.02333%-0.02
Kelly Olynyk-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.001039%-0.013-0.07333%-0.00
Tyler Johnson-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.130.00-0.0570%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Hassan Whiteside-0.120,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.09-0.03-0.00425%-0.043-0.0700%0.00
Justise Winslow-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.08-0.030.021637%-0.092-0.0430%-0.04

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dewayne Dedmon0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.03-0.02853%0.0800.001100%0.00
John Collins0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.080.010.04687%0.102-0.053100%0.01
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.010.02667%0.0400.0000%0.00
DeAndre' Bembry0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.070.030.061168%0.072-0.02367%-0.01
Jeremy Lin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.110.000.08983%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Justin Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Omari Spellman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Daniel Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.03950%0.022-0.0300%0.00
Trae Young0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.010.021456%0.064-0.08667%-0.01
Tyler Dorsey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.0210%0.002-0.0600%0.00
Alex Len0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.01825%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Kevin Huerter0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.13-0.01-0.061631%-0.043-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.52.629.314.824.22.727.2126.4
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +43.1%
MIA -1.9%
ATL +8.6%
ATL +0.4%
MIA -0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAATLNBAMIAATLNBA
this game15.413.914.383.7107.1109.3
season14.813.6106.3107.2
opponent13.914.3112.6106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.511.518.217.815.4
ATL13.912.513.715.713.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyler Johnson36360.17-0.670.85-0.006-303614.316.0-1.7113.713.9-0.17
Kelly Olynyk46460.15-0.650.790.034-283214.716.0-1.3014.213.60.63
Bam Adebayo53550.12-0.620.730.091-252615.715.00.7614.113.50.60
Derrick Jones Jr.60590.05-0.550.600.17-4-201615.814.80.9813.714.1-0.45
Dwyane Wade48490.04-0.540.590.011-252615.015.8-0.8413.314.4-1.09
James Johnson3840-0.530.03-0.560.06-20-4-1614.815.8-0.9814.113.70.45
Justise Winslow6060-0.610.11-0.730.18-273-3016.413.82.5714.213.40.82
Rodney McGruder4547-0.620.12-0.750.08-240-2416.214.71.5813.913.80.07
Josh Richardson5959-0.630.13-0.750.31-328-4015.315.6-0.2913.814.0-0.24
Hassan Whiteside4544-0.640.14-0.780.09-251-2615.015.7-0.7613.514.1-0.60

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeAndre' Bembry54530.500.000.50-0.2626-22814.712.81.9016.613.92.69
John Collins60550.400.100.31-0.151951413.714.2-0.4914.716.3-1.55
Trae Young65600.370.130.23-0.252131814.512.61.8914.816.2-1.39
Dewayne Dedmon55550.290.210.09-0.261951414.513.01.5015.315.5-0.18
Kevin Huerter76740.290.210.07-0.302041613.714.4-0.6915.315.8-0.53
Jeremy Lin34360.260.240.02-0.091212012.014.8-2.8316.115.01.19
Vince Carter39410.220.28-0.06-0.191410413.614.0-0.4016.214.81.35
Alex Len40400.080.42-0.340.08024-2413.314.2-0.9415.515.30.23
Daniel Hamilton47490.050.45-0.400.08-125-2613.913.80.0715.315.5-0.24
Tyler Dorsey17170.040.46-0.410.10-226-2812.614.1-1.5312.516.0-3.46
Justin Anderson450.000.50-0.500.12-428-3215.513.81.7116.215.30.86
Omari Spellman450.000.50-0.500.12-428-3215.513.81.7116.215.30.86


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.58,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 94, UTA 1110.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.63,0.71,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.0%
DAL 86, GSW 1110.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%
ORL 103, CLE 1170.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.6%