NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	100		Excitement	4.6 [908]		MVP	Boris Diaw (PHX): +13.5%
Phoenix Suns	118		Comeback	1.7 [1183]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (SAC): -10.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	18	47%	0.07	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Corliss Williamson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	9	57%	0.02	2	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Justin Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	16	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Quincy Douby	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.05	21	51%	0.03	2	-0.05	13	77%	-0.02
Ronnie Price	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.09	7	75%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	10	41%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.01	9	65%	0.13	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.16	0.01	0.05	17	66%	0.15	2	-0.03	16	56%	-0.03
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	7	75%	0.07	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.11	-0.00	0.12	6	92%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	-0.05	13	35%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.03	-0.05	13	63%	0.10	7	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	14	53%	0.01	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	2.4	29.6	15.3	25.2	1.8	29.4	132.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +35.0%

PHX +3.6%

PHX +24.0%

SAC -14.4%

PHX +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHX	NBA	SAC	PHX	NBA
this game	14.3	13.1	15.4	95.2	112.4	104.5
season	14.7	13.8		104.7	112.2
opponent	16.0	15.1		105.0	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	11.4	17.0	17.3	12.3	14.3
PHX	11.8	12.3	12.7	15.8	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Douby	16	17	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.09	-3	-15	12	10.1	15.1	-4.99	15.9	12.6	3.28
Justin Williams	10	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	7.1	15.1	-7.95	16.9	12.7	4.22
Corliss Williamson	45	46	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-16	14	16.2	12.8	3.37	13.3	13.0	0.34
Ronnie Price	38	40	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.07	-6	-12	6	14.2	14.3	-0.09	14.6	12.2	2.33
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	61	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.02	-13	-5	-8	14.8	13.6	1.21	11.9	14.7	-2.82
Mike Bibby	86	86	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	-4	-10	13.4	18.2	-4.78	13.0	13.5	-0.48
John Salmons	79	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.02	-15	-3	-12	15.1	12.0	3.05	12.6	14.7	-2.03
Kevin Martin	94	92	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.01	-16	-2	-14	15.0	8.5	6.52	12.8	15.2	-2.39
Francisco Garcia	96	94	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.03	-20	2	-22	14.0	17.1	-3.08	13.0	13.9	-0.87

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	82	83	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.15	24	-6	30	12.3	16.0	-3.67	14.2	14.8	-0.60
Raja Bell	77	77	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.01	19	-1	20	12.5	14.9	-2.40	15.0	12.3	2.74
Steve Nash	70	71	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.01	17	1	16	12.0	15.3	-3.31	14.5	13.9	0.61
Shawn Marion	66	67	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.04	15	3	12	12.7	13.9	-1.17	15.4	12.3	3.10
Leandro Barbosa	76	74	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.15	18	0	18	13.2	13.0	0.14	13.8	15.5	-1.78
Boris Diaw	62	63	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.03	5	13	-8	13.8	12.2	1.53	14.0	14.7	-0.66
Marcus Banks	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	17	-16	17.1	12.8	4.35	7.0	15.0	-7.98
James Jones	32	31	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	20	-22	14.0	12.7	1.29	15.3	13.9	1.46
Jalen Rose	28	28	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	19	-20	14.9	12.5	2.40	12.3	15.0	-2.74
Kurt Thomas	23	22	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.12	-6	24	-30	16.0	12.3	3.67	14.8	14.2	0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.79,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 89, ORL 104	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
ORL 103, MIL 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.81,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
SAS 84, NYK 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%