NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	89		Excitement	3.8 [1082]		MVP	Evan Fournier (ORL): +19.1%
Orlando Magic	104		Comeback	1.4 [841]		LVP	Ryan Anderson (NOP): -11.6%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.00	-0.05	10	50%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alexis Ajinca	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.03	12	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	16	54%	0.00	2	-0.01	5	40%	-0.02
Norris Cole	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	14	61%	0.09	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Dante Cunningham	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	6	25%	-0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.00	8	18%	-0.09	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Fournier	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.02	-0.03	12	74%	0.19	1	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.02	-0.00	21	65%	0.20	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.01	0.05	8	74%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	10	57%	0.06	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.01
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devyn Marble	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.06	5	64%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	25.4	14.7	25.3	1.8	26.6	120.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +47.6%

ORL +4.4%

NOP -6.7%

ORL +6.3%

NOP -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	ORL	NBA	NOP	ORL	NBA
this game	14.8	16.7	14.9	97.8	113.0	105.1
season	14.3	14.6		104.3	103.6
opponent	14.9	15.0		105.2	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	15.1	13.8	15.2	15.1	14.8
ORL	18.3	15.0	16.8	16.9	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	49	50	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.13	5	-20	25	14.6	15.0	-0.45	16.8	16.6	0.12
Toney Douglas	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-18	21	9.5	15.0	-5.50	15.0	16.8	-1.80
Dante Cunningham	37	37	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-18	21	13.8	15.4	-1.69	15.6	17.4	-1.81
Kendrick Perkins	31	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-12	9	13.4	15.5	-2.08	15.1	17.5	-2.43
Alexis Ajinca	23	24	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-11	7	15.3	14.6	0.73	17.0	16.6	0.40
Ryan Anderson	43	44	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-14	13	14.2	15.3	-1.08	16.5	16.9	-0.40
Norris Cole	60	60	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	-9	3	13.8	16.6	-2.86	15.9	18.2	-2.22
Anthony Davis	52	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-3	-9	15.4	13.9	1.55	17.6	15.6	2.02
Eric Gordon	43	45	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.02	-13	-2	-11	15.5	14.1	1.38	17.6	15.8	1.79
Omer Asik	29	28	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.01	-13	-2	-11	16.2	14.1	2.08	17.2	16.5	0.78
Alonzo Gee	30	30	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	0	-15	15.5	14.4	1.11	16.7	16.7	-0.01
Tyreke Evans	54	54	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.08	-19	4	-23	15.7	13.4	2.37	17.5	15.6	1.92

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	43	43	0.60	-0.10	0.71	-0.01	21	-6	27	17.3	16.2	1.12	15.0	14.5	0.46
Tobias Harris	69	68	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.00	19	-4	23	17.7	13.8	3.84	15.2	13.5	1.65
Evan Fournier	61	60	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.03	17	-2	19	17.4	15.4	1.94	15.2	13.8	1.39
Nikola Vucevic	69	69	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.07	13	2	11	17.5	14.3	3.14	15.0	14.0	1.00
Elfrid Payton	42	41	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	1	13	17.0	16.4	0.58	15.0	14.5	0.53
Mario Hezonja	23	24	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	12	-9	15.4	17.1	-1.70	14.6	14.8	-0.24
Victor Oladipo	48	49	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	13	-11	16.6	16.9	-0.30	14.9	14.6	0.26
Andrew Nicholson	41	41	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.04	3	12	-9	15.4	17.8	-2.37	14.8	14.8	-0.00
Devyn Marble	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	18	-21	15.0	16.8	-1.80	9.5	15.0	-5.50
Dewayne Dedmon	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	18	-21	15.0	16.8	-1.80	9.5	15.0	-5.50
Shabazz Napier	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	18	-21	15.0	16.8	-1.80	9.5	15.0	-5.50
Aaron Gordon	23	23	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.06	-4	19	-23	13.8	17.7	-3.84	13.5	15.2	-1.65
Jason Smith	26	25	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	19	-23	16.0	17.0	-0.93	14.5	14.8	-0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 104, MIN 119	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.75,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.4%
SAC 100, PHX 118	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.79,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
PHX 88, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%